Trump and Biden still well within the margin of error in swing states

President Joe Biden is just 2 percentage points away from former President Donald Trump among seven swing states recently polled, despite the president's dismal debate performance last week.

In a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll conducted from July 1 to 5, Trump led Biden by only 2 percentage points (47 to 45 percent) among all the swing states polled—Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Across all seven swing states, 4,902 registered voters were polled and there was a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage points.

Bloomberg News reported that the 2 percentage point gap between Trump and Biden is the smallest it's been since they began this type of polling in October 2023.

Meanwhile, when looking at each state individually, Biden was ahead of Trump in Michigan by 5 percentage points (48 to 43 percent) and Wisconsin by 3 points (47 to 44 percent). Meanwhile, Trump led Biden in Georgia by 1 percentage point (47 to 46 percent), Nevada by 3 points (48 to 45 percent), Pennsylvania by 7 points (51 to 44 percent), Arizona by 3 points (48 to 45 percent) and North Carolina by 3 points (46 to 43 percent).

There were 694 registered voters polled in Michigan, 695 in Wisconsin, 790 in Georgia, 452 in Nevada, 794 in Pennsylvania, 781 in Arizona and 696 in North Carolina. The margin of error for Georgia and Pennsylvania was plus or minus 3 percentage points; Arizona, Michigan, North Carolina and Wisconsin was plus or minus 4 percentage points and Nevada was plus or minus 5 percentage points.

https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-bad-news-swing-states-poll-despite-joe-biden-debate-performance-1921852

LeopoldBloom · M

@jehova The trial already happened. Argue with the judge, not me. Judge Merchan decided that Trump didn't pose a flight risk, so he is free pending sentencing. Also, for a first-time offender convicted of a white-collar crime, Trump probably won't get any jail time anyway, just probation.

If you're talking about the other trials, the FL one has been dismissed. In the DC and GA trials, Trump was freed on his own recognizance, which isn't unusual for a prominent person. Giuliani wasn't locked up pending trial either. I think of the 19 GA defendants, only one of them was incarcerated because he couldn't come up with the bail money.

jehova · 31-35, M

@LeopoldBloom k this a conversation. Im only trying to understand how trump is going to be allowed to escape justice

LeopoldBloom · M

@jehova He has enough toadies in federal judgeships to make sure he won't face any consequences until after the election, and if he wins, he will order all federal cases against him to be dismissed. In fact, he won't even have to do it, the toady he appoints as his Attorney General will do it for him. The GA case will be postponed until after he's out of office.