Midterms to the rescue? Maybe. Maybe not.Since the end of the Cold War, voters tended to constrain a sitting President‘s power by supporting the opposition in the midterm elections which regularly produced lame duck presidencies after their first two years in office. It happened to Bill... See More » (1)
China‘s state capitalism is no match for the USSince the dawn of international economic interactions, a recurring chorus of voices has made it their mission to act as alarmed prophets, warning of the imminent demise of economic freedom and openness. These voices caution that states, exploiting... See More »
The 2026 House elections & the progressive caucusCurrently, 94 of the 213 House Democrats are members of the progressive caucus. That’s 44% or 21,6% of the entire House of Representatives. In the House election last year 68 races were decided by a margin of 10% or lower. These districts are... See More » (1)
How the Big Beautiful Bill will alter ObamaCare.Many people are by now aware of the planned changes for the Medicaid program. However, fewer realize that there will be some modifications of the ACA (Affordable Care Act) as well, if that part of the bill will find its way into the Senate and from... See More »
“In Defense of the Order”I. We live in the shadow of fire. Not hypothetical fire. Not distant war games. Real fire — in Kyiv, in Sana‘a, in Erbil, in Jerusalem. And wherever the rule of law gives way to the rule of the strong. Foreign policy is not a classroom theory. It... See More »
Trump didn‘t cause the structural problems of the Democratic PartyThere‘s this idea that Trump, by abandoning social conservatism, neoliberalism and neoconservatism won the 2016 and 2024 election. For progressives that explanation is ideal because it would mean Democrats have to shed whatever residual... See More » (12)
Toward a New Blue Coalition to defeat Trump(Quote) Trump’s Victory and the Dissolution of the Obama Coalition Trump's victory and the disintegration of the Obama coalition are inseparable. After 2012, the Democratic Party lost the white non-college vote permanently. They lost the male... See More » (1)
The “Big Beautiful Bill”: A reverse Robin Hood?The House passed the omnibus reconciliation bill. And it cannot be understated how monumental the bill is in terms of its size and its fiscal, economic and distributional implications. Democrats will naturally try to go on the offensive and... See More »
Lessons for the Democratic Party.There's a dangerous illusion growing in the minds of many self-identified progressives within the Democratic Party. They feel like they’re the genuine base of the party, they’re the grassroots, the activists, the most educated, informed and moral vot... See More »
Who would‘ve thought?“US explores Latin American troop deployment to Haiti to fight gangs” (Financial Times, 14.05.2025) https://www.ft.com/content/d34b1310-56b0-4f74-8d61-05ed525b39e1 (1)
MAGA LeftismI won‘t bore you with the political horseshoe theory, which is already well-known, and get straight to the point. The commitment to economic freedom in the GOP is dying, and it is dying rapidly. Now this will be denied by people on the left who... See More »
Fascism - a meaningful term?Language is a funny thing. Say a word over and over again and at some point it’s going to sound strange and devoid of any meaning - it mutates into dissonant noise. By weaponizing words for political purposes the same can happen to terms like... See More »
Schrödinger‘s Medicaid reformIs it dead? Is it alive? No one knows until Republicans pass their planned reconciliation bill - or in Trump‘s own words the “big beautiful bill“. Let me share my thoughts with you on the potential for Medicaid reform, leaving aside how probable... See More »
Project 2025 is coming for America‘s national defenseTrump‘s in an awkward position. As Robert Kagan aptly put it „he‘s an isolationist but likes the superpower status“. So here we are, two conflicting motivations. Add to that the old libertarian and fiscally hawkish as well as the the new... See More »
A military operation to dismantle the Iranian nuclear program.While this administration still plays into Tehran‘s hands by extending yet another unmerited olive branch and by purportedly restraining Israel‘s sharp strategic instincts on the matter at hand, it is fair to assume that if these final negotiations... See More »
On freedom of speech and a free press during the Second Trump administration(Quote) https://www.thebulwark.com/p/how-far-will-trump-go-in-attacking-press-bezos-washington-post-cbs-60-minutes-paramount-fcc-first-amendment
On Civilizational DestinyColonel: I realize whatever was there, and I gather it wasn’t much, it’s all gone down in ash again. (Referring to a settlement that was attacked) But the Apache haven’t put a scratch on this, have they? (Pointing to the leaflet with the... See More »
A short history of the radicalization of American politics in the 21st centuryThe best way to approach the issue is by trying to identify the moment when the growing divergence began to occur. The high point of bipartisan centrism and consensus were the late 1980s, 1990s and early 2000s. Reagan had just introduced a new... See More »
Time for Hollywood to turn against Moscow, for good.For too long, mainstream movies and series have shied away from taking a clear stand on the issue of an aggressive, dangerous and evil Russia. In the past, Hollywood produced many movies that cinematically captured the geopolitical moment of their... See More »