Talking with a woman

who had trouble grasping the idea that a 30 percent chance of rain means there's a 70 percent chance that it won't.

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averageguy · 46-50, M

I've had this conversation as well. The person thought it meant that 30% of the local area would get rain

DunningKruger · 61-69, M

@averageguy My friend's thinking was even more basic. In her mind, saying that there was a 30 percent chance of rain was saying that it was going to rain.

CookieCrumbs · F

@DunningKruger @averageguy
They missed the class on % of a whole.

Degbeme · 70-79, M

@CookieCrumbs Give me a second. I`ll make up a pie chart. 🤭

PoohSmasher

It isn't like that though since the 30% means "in your specific area". It will rain someplace.. it will be 100% in your area if rain begins. How long it rains for is another percent.

DunningKruger · 61-69, M

@PoohSmasher No, that's not how it works. If there's a 30 percent chance of rain and it rains, there was still only a 30 percent chance of rain.

averageguy · 46-50, M

@PoohSmasher 🤦‍♂

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