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Fed Chairman Powell admits that his 2025 rate decisions are simply a feud with Trump, and have nothing to do with current economic conditions.



Photo above – NYPD detectives Jimmy Smits and Kim Delaney try to determine if inflation is really dead, and whether Jerome Powell is the perp.

You gotta love Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. He always tells the truth. Even when he doesn’t understand how crazy it makes the Fed look. Case in point – Powell says he won’t cut rates because of “Trump’s tariffs”. (see link at bottom).

Before we take Powell to the woodshed, let’s review what his Fed rate hikes (implemented during the Biden administration) were supposed to do:

1 – Curb inflation. Okay, check this one off as mission accomplished. The inflation rate has dropped from 7% (2021 and 2022) to 2.4% today. You deserve a medal, Professor Powell!

2 – Help make housing affordable again. Okay . . . this a complete failure. Housing starts are at their lowest level in nearly a decade. But then higher mortgage rates always cause home construction to tank. Mr. Powell, give back the medal you received above. And there’s no reason to believe that if you continue to torture home buyers with the highest mortgage rates in a decade that things will get any better.

3 – Increase unemployment. Stop screaming, you amateur economists with humanities degrees! How do you think curbing inflation works? When you make consumption more difficult that throws people out of work. Unemployment is rising now; it was 3.6% in 2023 but it's 4.1% today. That means 25% more people are jobless. How high will unemployment have to go before Mr. Powell, is satisfied? Does he even personally know anyone out of work?

Okay, so far Chairman Powell looks like he should take a remedial summer course in economics, to improve his understanding of how money works.

Let’s get back to Powell's inadvertent admission that Fed Rates are about Trump's tariffs. There’s two problems with this [Unwelcome language removed] and bull story. First, America had minimal tariffs when the Fed began hiking rates. Second, there is zero evidence – from the federal government itself – that Trump’s tariffs are about to cause inflation, or a massive increase in hiring. Think about this for a moment. New car sales are off 20% compared to the first quarter. Yet prices are NOT skyrocketing. Automakers – especially in Asia and Europe – are “rethinking” their pricing strategies. Geeze . . . maybe Trump got this one right. Rich corporations actually CAN swallow some tariffs without going bankrupt. Even I was skeptical about this, but the numbers so far don’t show we're falling off a cliff.

There’s another Fed announcement expected today. Nobody knows what Powell will say. Maybe down, maybe up, maybe sideways. Chairman Powell, like Chairman Mao, likes to appear inscrutable. But is there any other Federal agency which is allowed to concoct plots behind closed doors, and refuse to tell anyone what they have in mind? Other than the department of defense, I mean . . .?

I’m just sayin’ . . .

Trump's tariffs kept Fed from cutting rates, Jerome Powell says
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The Fed's primary mandate is to control inflation. They call it "price stability" but we know what they mean.

First, America had minimal tariffs when the Fed began hiking rates.
Gosh, could there possibly be other causes of inflation other than tariffs?? Who knew???

there is zero evidence – from the federal government itself – that Trump’s tariffs are about to cause inflation
Excluding common sense, you mean?? Tariffs are taxes on imported goods, of which we consume a lot. Increasing the tax increases the price. Remember "price stability"??

There's also strong economic evidence from tRump's first term. Sorry, this graph probably won't post here; you'll have to load it yourself.
[media=https://static.capitalgroup.com/content/dam/cgc/shared-content/images/charts4/chart-topical-guide-to-tariffs-inflation-vs-tariff-767x465.svg]





Add it all up, and it completely refutes your main claim. tRump's tariffs ARE inflationary, and Powell is adjusting rates to deal with that inflation. No feud here, just a man doing his job fighting inflation.
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
Trump can't keep the same economic agenda for longer than a week before changing his mind. I don't blame Powell for holding rates steady until the other shoe drops. It would be reckless to adjust rates while relying on voodoo economics from the White House to miraculously work out. These people monitor data for a living, not the President's social media feed
Crazywaterspring · 61-69, M
@TinyViolins TACO always says he'll have a plan in two weeks. Okaaaaay.
Convivial · 26-30, F
My understanding is the rates weren't cut because the effects of the tariffs are yet to be felt...a cautious approach
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Convivial that's a pretext broad and vague enough to justify either cutting or raising rates. we don't set fed policy because we don't know what might happen a year or two from now. we manage today's economy.

the next 2 years will possibly see the following events. Should we cut or raise fed rates?

the emergence of the next lab engineered virus from china

russian military satellites attacking US spy satellites

the collapse of the venezuelan government

detonation of a "test bomb" by Iran

the collapse of the italian government

higher unemployment in the US, and lower tax receipts from individuals and corporations

the failure of a half dozen "almost too big to fail" mid-sized banks
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
And Mussolini got the trains to run on time, Hitler controlled the German inflation. As you like to say, just saying.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Kypro have you read what the radicals have said even in public?
@samueltyler2 We's consider you radical.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@NativePortlander1970 then thank you for that, I never have, from you it is a compliment!
Y'all didn't vote for socialism. You got this. And you're dying off. You win.
@samueltyler2 you don't write it in, you don't put it there. You win this! The USA has democracy. And the population voted to cut itself and attack the globe. You are hegemonic. You voted for nothing else! You cannot.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Roundandroundwego as usual, your post makes no sense. we're trying to have a serious conversation about Fed Policy here. Children should sit in the hallway and play quietly.
@SusanInFlorida you got this! You isolated and excluded me with your wisdom!
Everyone knows that about the bipartisan empire from Washington! You don't have to listen to me! You got this,!
There's a real elevation in your US death rates because of your policies. You don't understand. That's the science, and you want to deny. That's fatal. So yup.
SunshineGirl · 36-40, F
Unlike Chairman Mao, Powell takes monetary policy decisions alongside a committee of seven governors and five regional bankers which makes any suggestion of a personal vendetta look ridiculous.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Kypro only the far right radicals refuse to see these facts for what they are.
If that allegation is true, Pam Bondi shoukd charge him with a seditious act against Trump, as well as us US Citizens.

 
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