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A Multinational Strategy for Containing the Houthis

The time has come to conceptualize a US-led multinational campaign against Ansar Allah, better known as the Houthis. Either collective US-led military and economic pressure is applied to diminish and, for the time being, suppress Houthi aggression, or continued negligence will invariably pave the way for eventual Houthi dominance over the southern Arabian Peninsula.

In the past, the US has either relied on unilateral air power or assigned less capable and less decisive allies the task of containing, or even rolling back, advances made by the Houthi movement’s armed wing in Yemen. This will have to change. While the Trump administration has not been particularly adept at building coalitions through shrewd and careful diplomacy, the Yemen file cannot be addressed by the US alone, nor can it simply be handed off to allies who are ill-equipped or hesitant in the face of a Houthi threat reinforced by recurring threats from Iran itself and from Tehran’s lesser proxy groups throughout the Middle East.

The Houthi theory of victory in Yemen is not unlike Putin’s theory of victory in Ukraine. The Houthi movement, which entrenched itself in Sana’a approximately twelve years ago by illegally usurping governmental authority in northwestern Yemen, is intent on pursuing a persistent and seemingly inexorable struggle to subdue the whole of Yemen and weaponize the country as a base from which it would be well positioned to rise to the position of custodian of the Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, the Strait of Bab al-Mandab, and the Suez Canal. This, in turn, would allow the group to mobilize Yemen’s resources in order to expand further north, seizing or at least imperiling Mecca. To that end, and as an end in itself, the Houthis aim to hold the region’s waterways and energy-production sites hostage.

These are no trivial objectives, and unfortunately, they are not unrealistic, barring decisive and concerted action from the US, the GCC nations, and possibly Israel, as well as some willing European allies.

Strategic bombing campaigns along the lines of Operation Rough Rider in early 2025 can disrupt, degrade, and partially deter the Houthis, but the war against the group can only be won on the ground.

Back in 2025, the US and the UK bombed northwestern Yemen without assembling a broader Gulf Arab coalition and, worse still, without coordinating with local armed factions aligned with the Yemeni rump state.

One year later, and after more than a thousand air strikes, the Houthis had seized the entire Red Sea coast of Yemen, the island of Perim, located at the center of the Strait of Bab al-Mandab, as well as the port city of Mocha.

Operation Rough Rider was emblematic of the Trump administration’s narrow focus on military tactics and strike tallies at the expense of grand strategy, reminiscent of Robert McNamara’s failed approach to the war in Vietnam six decades ago.

Instead of unilateral action relying exclusively on air power, the US will have to craft a strategy that combines American naval, air, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), logistical, and special-forces capabilities with a robust array of regional allies. In particular, Emirati, Saudi, and Egyptian forces could support local pro-government militias in a campaign aimed at retaking territory through offensive operations and maneuver warfare.

Rather than limiting the campaign to strategic bombing of targets in Sana’a or Saada, in the Houthi-controlled heartland of northwestern Yemen, the US Air Force would instead have to provide close tactical air support for ongoing and fluid ground operations. These operations would entail targeting frontline positions, armed formations, and supply lines reinforcing entrenched Houthi positions in contested areas of the country. Such an air campaign would hold greater promise for creating the military conditions necessary to facilitate rapid movement on the ground.

The UAE, in particular, has demonstrated the military finesse and operational capability to assist in, and even conduct, professional military operations inside Yemen through its expeditionary forces, seizing territory and pushing the Houthis back. After Sana’a, the de jure capital of Yemen, fell in 2014, the Houthis precipitously marched south in an attempt to capture Aden, Yemen’s second-largest city. However, successful UAE-led counterattacks forced the Houthis to retreat northward, thereby liberating Aden and much of southwestern Yemen.

In 2018, a UAE-led offensive was poised to capture the strategically important Houthi-controlled port of Hodeidah when an untimely UN diplomatic intervention, coupled with pressure from Western capitals, thwarted the completion of the operation. The intervention ultimately left the Houthis in control of a city that serves as a key node for undermining freedom of navigation in the area and resupplying Houthi forces.

It was yet another strategic setback that must not be repeated. This time, strategic objectives will have to be clearly articulated by members of the anti-Houthi coalition, and combined allied pressure will have to be sustained until Houthi frontline positions break, culminating in a chaotic withdrawal toward the north of the country and the liberation of strategically important stretches of territory along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, accompanied by additional gains around the two frontline cities of Marib and Taiz.

With sufficient US, Saudi, and Egyptian backing, the UAE could play a central role in reversing recent Houthi battlefield gains and advancing northward from the southwestern fringe of Yemen toward the eventual capture of Hodeidah and its strategically valuable port.

Capturing this major logistical node, exerting pressure on Oman to close cross-country overland smuggling routes, reducing Houthi territorial control, and pairing these measures with a sustained strategic bombing campaign aimed at the Houthi leadership and the entity’s nascent military-industrial complex would alter the balance of power in the southern Arabian Peninsula, constrain Houthi power projection, and mitigate the risk of further Houthi expansion.
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Burnley123 · 41-45, M
One thing that would help would be to stop the ridiculous war with Iran. Trump needs to take the L and walk away.
CedricH · 22-25, M
@Burnley123 The Houthis have been a threat to the region and the global commons since their seizure of Sana‘a in 2014, far predating the current US-Iran war.
And to borrow your rhetoric. One thing that would help would be to win the war with Iran.
And I‘m confident the administration will resume the long overdue air campaign that has imprudently been put on hold, with sporadic exceptions, since mid-April. Presumably after the midterm elections.
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CedricH · 22-25, M
@Picklebobble2 I‘m not sure what you mean by
these groups
The Houthis are one group and they’re the subject of this essay.

It is plainly inaccurate to assert that the Houthis were kept in line by much at all. While aligned with Iran, they’re an independent actor with their own mission to challenge the US-led regional order in the Middle East for the purpose of reducing any obstacles to their movements revolutionary and zealous expansion.

If the regime in Iran did fall, it would clearly weaken the Houthis as it would Iran’s other terrorist proxies in Iraq, Lebanon and Gaza, but it wouldn’t automatically usher in their demise. The Houthis have been working on an indigenous, albeit primitive, military industrial base, fueled by imported or smuggled Chinese commercial dual-use inputs used for drone construction among other things.

Houthi aggression will persist even after the fall of the Islamic Republic in Tehran and demands separate and calibrated attention.

As for your last paragraph. The Houthis are already a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) and they do have links to the remnants of AQAP and Al-Shabab in Somalia.
Having said that, they‘re a former insurgent group turned non-state militia. They‘re ill-equipped to stage transnational terror plots and fear of such attacks should not militate against taking decisive action against the group. Quite the opposite, in fact.

Otherwise, it would be akin to letting Russia dominate Eastern Europe for fear of continued arson attacks, or acts of sabotage. That’s the very essence of defeatism and it‘ll inevitably produce more war on far less favorable terms to the American-led world order.

The Houthis present an acute geopolitical threat that can and should be dealt with. It is time to address the issue with an appropriate level of seriousness.
SunshineGirl · 41-45, F
While the Trump administration has not been particularly adept at building coalitions through shrewd and careful diplomacy

An elegant under-statement, and unfortunately the stumbling block to any effective action.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@SunshineGirl Yeah, its like expecting a Fox in a hen house to calm everything down!
CedricH · 22-25, M
@SunshineGirl We‘ll see. Due to recent events, Arab states, especially the Kingdom and the UAE are more likely to willingly participate in a joint effort, midwifed by the United States. This was not the case when the Biden and Trump administrations sought Gulf Arab assistance in confronting the Houthis back in 2024/25. So the conditions to assemble a broader coalition are ripe at the moment. Unless Washington feels compelled to let this propitious interval lapse on account of political considerations and the midterms.

PS: I‘m glad you consider my phrasing elegant. I take that as a compliment. :)

 
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