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A Multinational Strategy for Containing the Houthis

The time has come to conceptualize a US-led multinational campaign against Ansar Allah, better known as the Houthis. Either collective US-led military and economic pressure is applied to diminish and, for the time being, suppress Houthi aggression, or continued negligence will invariably pave the way for eventual Houthi dominance over the southern Arabian Peninsula.

In the past, the US has either relied on unilateral air power or assigned less capable and less decisive allies the task of containing, or even rolling back, advances made by the Houthi movement’s armed wing in Yemen. This will have to change. While the Trump administration has not been particularly adept at building coalitions through shrewd and careful diplomacy, the Yemen file cannot be addressed by the US alone, nor can it simply be handed off to allies who are ill-equipped or hesitant in the face of a Houthi threat reinforced by recurring threats from Iran itself and from Tehran’s lesser proxy groups throughout the Middle East.

The Houthi theory of victory in Yemen is not unlike Putin’s theory of victory in Ukraine. The Houthi movement, which entrenched itself in Sana’a approximately twelve years ago by illegally usurping governmental authority in northwestern Yemen, is intent on pursuing a persistent and seemingly inexorable struggle to subdue the whole of Yemen and weaponize the country as a base from which it would be well positioned to rise to the position of custodian of the Red Sea, the Gulf of Aden, the Strait of Bab al-Mandab, and the Suez Canal. This, in turn, would allow the group to mobilize Yemen’s resources in order to expand further north, seizing or at least imperiling Mecca. To that end, and as an end in itself, the Houthis aim to hold the region’s waterways and energy-production sites hostage.

These are no trivial objectives, and unfortunately, they are not unrealistic, barring decisive and concerted action from the US, the GCC nations, and possibly Israel, as well as some willing European allies.

Strategic bombing campaigns along the lines of Operation Rough Rider in early 2025 can disrupt, degrade, and partially deter the Houthis, but the war against the group can only be won on the ground.

Back in 2025, the US and the UK bombed northwestern Yemen without assembling a broader Gulf Arab coalition and, worse still, without coordinating with local armed factions aligned with the Yemeni rump state.

One year later, and after more than a thousand air strikes, the Houthis had seized the entire Red Sea coast of Yemen, the island of Perim, located at the center of the Strait of Bab al-Mandab, as well as the port city of Mocha.

Operation Rough Rider was emblematic of the Trump administration’s narrow focus on military tactics and strike tallies at the expense of grand strategy, reminiscent of Robert McNamara’s failed approach to the war in Vietnam six decades ago.

Instead of unilateral action relying exclusively on air power, the US will have to craft a strategy that combines American naval, air, intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), logistical, and special-forces capabilities with a robust array of regional allies. In particular, Emirati, Saudi, and Egyptian forces could support local pro-government militias in a campaign aimed at retaking territory through offensive operations and maneuver warfare.

Rather than limiting the campaign to strategic bombing of targets in Sana’a or Saada, in the Houthi-controlled heartland of northwestern Yemen, the US Air Force would instead have to provide close tactical air support for ongoing and fluid ground operations. These operations would entail targeting frontline positions, armed formations, and supply lines reinforcing entrenched Houthi positions in contested areas of the country. Such an air campaign would hold greater promise for creating the military conditions necessary to facilitate rapid movement on the ground.

The UAE, in particular, has demonstrated the military finesse and operational capability to assist in, and even conduct, professional military operations inside Yemen through its expeditionary forces, seizing territory and pushing the Houthis back. After Sana’a, the de jure capital of Yemen, fell in 2014, the Houthis precipitously marched south in an attempt to capture Aden, Yemen’s second-largest city. However, successful UAE-led counterattacks forced the Houthis to retreat northward, thereby liberating Aden and much of southwestern Yemen.

In 2018, a UAE-led offensive was poised to capture the strategically important Houthi-controlled port of Hodeidah when an untimely UN diplomatic intervention, coupled with pressure from Western capitals, thwarted the completion of the operation. The intervention ultimately left the Houthis in control of a city that serves as a key node for undermining freedom of navigation in the area and resupplying Houthi forces.

It was yet another strategic setback that must not be repeated. This time, strategic objectives will have to be clearly articulated by members of the anti-Houthi coalition, and combined allied pressure will have to be sustained until Houthi frontline positions break, culminating in a chaotic withdrawal toward the north of the country and the liberation of strategically important stretches of territory along Yemen’s Red Sea coast, accompanied by additional gains around the two frontline cities of Marib and Taiz.

With sufficient US, Saudi, and Egyptian backing, the UAE could play a central role in reversing recent Houthi battlefield gains and advancing northward from the southwestern fringe of Yemen toward the eventual capture of Hodeidah and its strategically valuable port.

Capturing this major logistical node, exerting pressure on Oman to close cross-country overland smuggling routes, reducing Houthi territorial control, and pairing these measures with a sustained strategic bombing campaign aimed at the Houthi leadership and the entity’s nascent military-industrial complex would alter the balance of power in the southern Arabian Peninsula, constrain Houthi power projection, and mitigate the risk of further Houthi expansion.
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Burnley123 · 41-45, M
One thing that would help would be to stop the ridiculous war with Iran. Trump needs to take the L and walk away.
CedricH · 22-25, M
@Burnley123 The Houthis have been a threat to the region and the global commons since their seizure of Sana‘a in 2014, far predating the current US-Iran war.
And to borrow your rhetoric. One thing that would help would be to win the war with Iran.
And I‘m confident the administration will resume the long overdue air campaign that has imprudently been put on hold, with sporadic exceptions, since mid-April. Presumably after the midterm elections.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@CedricH The biggest threats to the region are Israel and America, if I can borrow from your rhetoric.
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CedricH · 22-25, M
@Picklebobble2 I‘m not sure what you mean by
these groups
The Houthis are one group and they’re the subject of this essay.

It is plainly inaccurate to assert that the Houthis were kept in line by much at all. While aligned with Iran, they’re an independent actor with their own mission to challenge the US-led regional order in the Middle East for the purpose of reducing any obstacles to their movements revolutionary and zealous expansion.

If the regime in Iran did fall, it would clearly weaken the Houthis as it would Iran’s other terrorist proxies in Iraq, Lebanon and Gaza, but it wouldn’t automatically usher in their demise. The Houthis have been working on an indigenous, albeit primitive, military industrial base, fueled by imported or smuggled Chinese commercial dual-use inputs used for drone construction among other things.

Houthi aggression will persist even after the fall of the Islamic Republic in Tehran and demands separate and calibrated attention.

As for your last paragraph. The Houthis are already a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) and they do have links to the remnants of AQAP and Al-Shabab in Somalia.
Having said that, they‘re a former insurgent group turned non-state militia. They‘re ill-equipped to stage transnational terror plots and fear of such attacks should not militate against taking decisive action against the group. Quite the opposite, in fact.

Otherwise, it would be akin to letting Russia dominate Eastern Europe for fear of continued arson attacks, or acts of sabotage. That’s the very essence of defeatism and it‘ll inevitably produce more war on far less favorable terms to the American-led world order.

The Houthis present an acute geopolitical threat that can and should be dealt with. It is time to address the issue with an appropriate level of seriousness.
MoveAlong · 70-79, M
I would like for one time see the Saudis spend their wealth and blood defending themselves. The US would not have to come running every time there is a problem in the region if they would take a little of the burden upon themselves.
SunshineGirl · 41-45, F
While the Trump administration has not been particularly adept at building coalitions through shrewd and careful diplomacy

An elegant under-statement, and unfortunately the stumbling block to any effective action.
SunshineGirl · 41-45, F
@GerOttman I can see no direct connection between the policies of previous administrations and the decision of Donald Trump to start an unprovoked war which has strengthened the hand of the Iranian regime. Iran has been chanting "Death to America" (and Britain) for over 50 years now. I believe Trump completely miscalculated and lacks the diplomatic skills required to extricate himself. I would say this is what happens when you let a businessman into politics, but the complete lack of self-awareness and apparent inability to negotiate a deal would be fairly extraordinary in the business world too.
@GerOttman says
I would point out however that Mr. Obama actually solved nothing and simply provided financial support to a terrorist regime.
NOPE!! DEAD WRONG!!!

The Obama admin secured an agreement, formally known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, or JCPOA, that was signed in 2015 by the United States and Iran as well as China, Russia, France, Germany and the United Kingdom.

Under the deal, Iran agreed not to pursue nuclear weapons and to allow continuous monitoring of its compliance in exchange for relief from economic sanctions. Iran also gave up 98% of its enriched uranium.

Lemme repeat that: Iran agreed ... to allow continuous monitoring of its compliance

Lemme repeat that: Iran also gave up 98% of its enriched uranium.

The monitoring plan under Obama was a rigorous technical inspection regime of Iran's facilities. Key parts of the inspection instrumentation were implemented and verified by Obama's Energy Secretary, an MIT nuclear physicist named Dr Ernest Moniz. Moniz's system could identify traces (secondary radioactivity) left by radioactive materials even after they had been moved.

It was Obama's inspection deal that halted Iran's uranium enrichment program in exchange for relaxed sanctions.

Moniz's technical inspection regime was a major part of what tRump blew up in 2018. Without the Obama deal, Iran immediately restarted their UF6 centrifuge uranium enrichment program.

It was the failure of tRump to "make a better deal" after blowing up JCPOA that forced tRump to drop bunker buster bombs on Iran's uranium enrichment program in 2025. And it was the failure of that tactic that caused "no new wars" tRump to start the current 2026 ongoing war with Iran.

And finally, it was the failure of tRump's 2026 war strategy that caused Iran to close the Strait of Hormuz, thus driving up oil prices.
Kwek00 · 41-45, M
@SunshineGirl @ElwoodBlues Like he said:

You can believe what you want.

It doesn't matter if you can proof annything... people can just believe what they want.

And on this "you can believe what you want"-stance in life, in combination with his delusional paranoia... he argues in favor of actions that he is okay with, but where the fault of the consequences are blamed on "previous administrations"... and once called out that you are cleaning up the rubble of a "previous administration" his paranoid mind voted for, @GerOttman will call you gullible for not following the same baseless emotions

But this guy wants to be taken seriously anyway... because his ego is bigger then his capacity for reason. And he chooses to believe, that he's way smarter then all the people that observe the pathetic nature of his being.

 
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