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Mea culpa – I didn’t think Trump would win the Canada/Mexico trade war just like that . . .

Wow . . . could it have happened any quicker? Just like that, Mexico agrees to armed troops on the Rio Grande, and arrests an untouchable drug kingpin. Canada also promises to stop the flow of fentanyl and human traffickers bringing migrants south.

My go-to handbook for all things economic is usually the Wall Street Journal. The WSJ yesterday predicted defeat or at least surrender by America. I bet their op/ed writers are in a huddle right now. (“Hmmm . . . where did we go wrong? Did we overestimate America’s dependence on Fentanyl, and unvetted drug gang members?”)

In the meantime, Biden as taken a position. He hired CAA (Creative Artists Agency) to help him find someone to ghost write his memoirs. Going to be tough, since Biden can’t seem to remember where he put most of those top-secret papers. I’m not condoning Trump’s theft. But at least he knew where they were.

The Obamas rang Hollywood’s doorbell 30 seconds after leaving the White House too. They started their own agency (“Higher Ground”) with backing from Netflix. Barack and Michelle are represented by Qadriyyah “Q” Shamsid-Deen, someone nobody has ever heard of but is probably well-connected. The Obamas' first Netflix effort was “Leave the World Behind”, a streaming only release where cyber terrorists take down the entire USA. Holy Guacamole, Batman! I expected better from the Obamas. At 2 hours and 20 minutes, Leave the World Behind is ridiculously long. Netflix has been opaque about the production cost and revenues but claims it has been streamed more than 100 million times. “Stranger Things” have happened, of course . . .

Back to Trump’s 6-day trade war. CNN had the best take this morning. Some talking head said the tariff strategy came straight out of “Art of the Deal” (Trump’s own ghost-written book), where adversaries rely on brinkmanship. Whoever flinches first loses. I'm okay with this, as long as nuclear weapons are not involved. Hamas seems to have surrendered too and is disgorging their tortured civilian captives. This is just a strategy to re-arm, however. Expect to see a resumption of hostilities later this year.

Over the next 2 years I think the financial markets have more downside than upside. Not because of Trump, but because of America’s ridiculous $36 trillion national debt. That’s more than the next 10 nations combined. Elon Trump is evidently preparing to end the Department of Education, US Agency for International Development, the Federal Reserve and a wider alphabet soup of high spending, low accountability paper pushers.

That sounds scary. Just like a trade war with Canada and Mexico sounded scary. But I’m reigning in my skepticism. I want to see who blinks next. We may, in fact, see wholesale budget cuts and staff departures at a bunch of federal agencies which simply duplicate state level regulation and activities. At least, I hope that’s what happens.

I’m just sayin’ . . .
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You got played. Actually, Canada & Mexico called tRump's tariff bluff, stock markets went into free-fall, and tRump backed down with NOTHING except tiny face saving concessions.

Mexico's 10,000 troops? Biden won that concession in 2021, now tRump is taking credit😂🤣
https://apnews.com/article/guatemala-honduras-mexico-immigration-border-patrols-917c0fea87c0a807b371da207d34c8cc

Canada agreed to appoint a "fentanyl czar," plus
Trudeau noted that Canada is implementing its $1.3 billion border plan to reinforce the border with new equipment and personnel.

“Nearly 10,000 frontline personnel are and will be working on protecting the border,” Trudeau said.

Notice that "Canada is implementing" phrase?? It's because it was a pre-existing plan from last December!
https://www.canada.ca/en/public-safety-canada/news/2024/12/the-government-of-canadas-border-plan-significant-investments-to-strengthen-border-security-and-our-immigration-system.html

Notice that "are and will be" wording?? That's right, the big "concession" here is that Canada will maintain the same number of border personnel😂🤣
@DogMan I'm not afraid, I'm amused by how many people got played by Tяump.

BTW, implicit in your statement is the fact that Biden left Tяump a pretty good economy, such that if Tяump rocks the boat too much the economy will sink. Thanks, Dark Brandon!!

DogMan · 61-69, M
@ElwoodBlues What makes you think the economy was good at the end of Bidens term?

Gas prices? Food prices? home prices? I know what you are going to say, "It could have been
worse" but that is a cop out.

What will you say when prices begin falling? I think I know, you will say "Biden did that" right?
DogMan · 61-69, M
@ElwoodBlues Wall Street investors are cheering former President Trump's return to the White House.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared to a record high, closing up more than 1,500 points on Wednesday after Trump won the presidential election over Vice President Kamala Harris.

Meanwhile, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 each rose by more than 2% on Wednesday to also hit new highs.

Have no fear Elmer, It is still looking good for the next 4 years
joe438 · 61-69, M
Reality is a harsh mistress. Both Canada and Mexico knew they were either complicit in the fentanyl trafficking, or at least responsible for allowing the criminals to control their borders. Tariffs are a good attention getter, but if Trump had asked for something stupid, they wouldn’t have caved.

Since stopping illegal drugs is something governments are supposed to do, I’m not surprised how little it took. To be honest, I suspect Mexico will still help the cartels somehow but we’ll see.
MrGrumpy · M
@joe438 21,000 lbs confiscated at southern border, 43 lbs at northern border
joe438 · 61-69, M
@MrGrumpy it sounds like the Canadians shouldn’t have much trouble stopping all of it then. Or possibly they failed to stop most if it.

How many people would 21k lbs of fentanyl kill? Wow.
MrGrumpy · M
@joe438 I don’t understand what you mean. Northern border isn’t a problem for fentanyl. At least not yet. Sure, ideal number should be 0. But you can’t compare 21000 to 43.

Did you know Canada also seizes drugs and firearms coming in from US border?

Canada has some of the strictest chemical import regulations. But there will always be some that sneak through cause of errors or evolving chemical components
AuRevoir · 36-40, M
Anyone who predicted defeat knows nothing about economics. They were doomed to crack under that pressure.

I love how all the comments here still haven’t learned anything. Despite all the transparent information that’s been dropped. “Oh they gave the same agreement lol”

The difference is, they’re actually PARTICIPATING, and ENFORCING the agreement. But of course the people on SW have already experienced too much brain rot to understand the difference.

I believe only in their personal lives would they understand the difference. “Hey are you going to keep that promise you made to me?” “Oh yeah sure I am.. I said I am didn’t I.. so it’s clearly happening…” Now say the same scenario plays out over and over again in their real life. Where the person never keeps the promise. A good example would be say, paying back a $1,000 that was borrowed. But it never happening and the same conversation is always had. “Hey are you going to keep that promise you made to me?” “Oh yeah sure I am.. I said I am didn’t I.. so it’s clearly happening…” That’s only when they’d understand , because it would be happening to them, Trump is the version of “YOU’RE DOING IT NOW, AND I’M GOING WITH YOU TI MAKE SURE I GET THE MONEY!” And suddenly the empty promises end. And it’s no longer just words, but actions taking place.
DogMan · 61-69, M
@AuRevoir Great analogy.
Virgo79 · 61-69, M
Simply amazing what can be done🙂
When theres someone to do it.
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MrGrumpy · M
I don’t know what you’re reading but Trump didn’t win jack. He blinked. There are no additional concessions. Besides, you shouldn’t call bullying and blackmailing friends a win
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
@MrGrumpy I'm not at all. I'm asking you to explain why, if Canada and Mexico knew that Trump's demands were already met, did they freak out when the tariffs were first threatened?

Do you understand the question?
MrGrumpy · M
@SumKindaMunster Because US is a big trading partner. Tariffs are bad news. Doesn’t imply anything else
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
@MrGrumpy K. Well obviously you are not a sincere responder. Have a good day.
DogMan · 61-69, M
Yes, the states should run their own school system. Then they can compete with other
states, for the best ways to educate kids. Instead of taking orders from bureaucrats.
@DogMan If you're talking about Moms for Liberty, that's a white nationalist, anti-gay organization that routinely disrupted school board meetings. But they weren't "labeled domestic terrorists." None of them went to jail. So you can stop with the false victimhood.

I agree about the unwanted and neglected kids. Romania under Ceaucescu tried to increase its population by outlawing abortion and contraception, and they ended up with more abandoned kids that the state had to care for. The treatment of disabled kids amounted to a crime against humanity. No rational person should want that here. However, the reason I support abortion is because no woman should be forced to gestate and give birth against her will, even if she's wealthy and can give a child a great life.
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SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@DogMan we agree. some states will have shitty schools. some already do. people can either vote for new/better elected officials, or vote with their feet and move to a different state (or school district).

there's already intense competition here in Florida (and my mom's state - Pennsylvania) for homes in "the right school district". home prices are much higher where the schools are competent.

the larger a school district is, the less likely it will try to compete on quality. It will use its size crush competition.

The way Ford and GM used to think they could rule the automotive universe.
0.02% of the illegal fentanyl entering the US comes from Canada. Big win. And the 10,000 Mexican troops on the border, are you sure it’s not 9,999 or 7,435? How long do they need to stay there? 5 minutes?

This “win” is purely symbolic.
DavidT8899 · 22-25, M
@LeopoldBloom We will have to see how it works out.If the troops do their duty and rein in the migrants that will be arriving as Trump reinstates "Remain in Mexico",then it will have been a worthwhile effort.And I imagine the Mexican government well knows that if they shirk their responsibility,Trump can always reinstate the tariffs.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@DavidT8899 I fully expect the US to be "tested" by Mexico's corrupt military and police. They are the ones providing protection to cartels, for a piece of the action.
justanothername · 51-55, M
Correction. Trump agreed to a pre standing agreement so basically no change, BUT, he gave HIMSELF undue credit as expected which loyal MAGA cultists lapped up with glee.
justanothername · 51-55, M
@DogMan You are so funny.
🦗

The pre existing agreement set up by Joe.
DogMan · 61-69, M
@justanothername Yes, the agreement that did not materialize until Trump was elected.

If Biden signed an executive order to stop all wars, but did nothing to stop wars, would
you give him kudos for stopping wars? Obama got the Nobel Peace prize, and he was
the only POTUS in history to fight wars his entire 8 years.

So I guess your answer would be YES, you would give Biden Kudos for doing nothing.

Fear not, when Trump stops the fighting in Ukraine and Gaza, you guys can take credit.
justanothername · 51-55, M
@DogMan Trump promised to stop the fighting in Ukraine within 24 hours of being elected…..,

🦗

justanothername · 51-55, M
Typical MAGA reporting. You guys prefer the tabloid version and try to make it like that is “the” news …

Here’s a proper link

https://apnews.com/article/trump-tariffs-canada-mexico-china-sheinbaum-trudeau-017efa8c3343b8d2a9444f7e65356ae9
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
@justanothername If what you claim is true, why were the governments of Canada and Mexico pissing their pants and threatening retaliatory tariffs when all they had to do was tell Trump what he wanted to hear?
@SusanInFlorida
and we were also told that Hillary would win, Kamala would win, and that NYC would be 6 feet under water by now.

when you’ve been caught in a lie, like now, you resort to the typical MAGA trope:

😂😂😂
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Mesthartiya if you can find any of my columns where i support trump or maga, please link to them to amuse your readers. i'm a longtime trump critic. i voted for nikki haley in 2024, also in 2020.

people like you are the reason democrats are failing. bad reading skills, and haters from the word go.
DogMan · 61-69, M
@DrWatson What happened to Trudeau? Is he still PM?
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