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Mea culpa – I didn’t think Trump would win the Canada/Mexico trade war just like that . . .

Wow . . . could it have happened any quicker? Just like that, Mexico agrees to armed troops on the Rio Grande, and arrests an untouchable drug kingpin. Canada also promises to stop the flow of fentanyl and human traffickers bringing migrants south.

My go-to handbook for all things economic is usually the Wall Street Journal. The WSJ yesterday predicted defeat or at least surrender by America. I bet their op/ed writers are in a huddle right now. (“Hmmm . . . where did we go wrong? Did we overestimate America’s dependence on Fentanyl, and unvetted drug gang members?”)

In the meantime, Biden as taken a position. He hired CAA (Creative Artists Agency) to help him find someone to ghost write his memoirs. Going to be tough, since Biden can’t seem to remember where he put most of those top-secret papers. I’m not condoning Trump’s theft. But at least he knew where they were.

The Obamas rang Hollywood’s doorbell 30 seconds after leaving the White House too. They started their own agency (“Higher Ground”) with backing from Netflix. Barack and Michelle are represented by Qadriyyah “Q” Shamsid-Deen, someone nobody has ever heard of but is probably well-connected. The Obamas' first Netflix effort was “Leave the World Behind”, a streaming only release where cyber terrorists take down the entire USA. Holy Guacamole, Batman! I expected better from the Obamas. At 2 hours and 20 minutes, Leave the World Behind is ridiculously long. Netflix has been opaque about the production cost and revenues but claims it has been streamed more than 100 million times. “Stranger Things” have happened, of course . . .

Back to Trump’s 6-day trade war. CNN had the best take this morning. Some talking head said the tariff strategy came straight out of “Art of the Deal” (Trump’s own ghost-written book), where adversaries rely on brinkmanship. Whoever flinches first loses. I'm okay with this, as long as nuclear weapons are not involved. Hamas seems to have surrendered too and is disgorging their tortured civilian captives. This is just a strategy to re-arm, however. Expect to see a resumption of hostilities later this year.

Over the next 2 years I think the financial markets have more downside than upside. Not because of Trump, but because of America’s ridiculous $36 trillion national debt. That’s more than the next 10 nations combined. Elon Trump is evidently preparing to end the Department of Education, US Agency for International Development, the Federal Reserve and a wider alphabet soup of high spending, low accountability paper pushers.

That sounds scary. Just like a trade war with Canada and Mexico sounded scary. But I’m reigning in my skepticism. I want to see who blinks next. We may, in fact, see wholesale budget cuts and staff departures at a bunch of federal agencies which simply duplicate state level regulation and activities. At least, I hope that’s what happens.

I’m just sayin’ . . .
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joe438 · 61-69, M
Reality is a harsh mistress. Both Canada and Mexico knew they were either complicit in the fentanyl trafficking, or at least responsible for allowing the criminals to control their borders. Tariffs are a good attention getter, but if Trump had asked for something stupid, they wouldn’t have caved.

Since stopping illegal drugs is something governments are supposed to do, I’m not surprised how little it took. To be honest, I suspect Mexico will still help the cartels somehow but we’ll see.
DogMan · 61-69, M
@joe438 The left will never allow themselves to understand why Trump says and does
certain things. It's always for a different reason than what it seems. He knows how to get
things done. The left will never be happy with anything he does. that is why he doesn't
listen to them. Democrats are leaving the party of hate and division, and reluctantly
coming over to the right side.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@joe438 todays update - canadian "human traffickers" are openly advertising their services (and prices) on social media sites such as TikTok, instagram, etc.
joe438 · 61-69, M
@SusanInFlorida I guess we'll see if the Canadians are serious about wanting to clean up the borders.

It's just sick.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@joe438 i don't think "canadians" per se dreamed up this human trafficking/mule thing. the last trafficker who got arrested was some dude from India, who was guiding his countrymen from Canada to the lower 48.

don't ask me why.
MrGrumpy · M
@joe438 21,000 lbs confiscated at southern border, 43 lbs at northern border
joe438 · 61-69, M
@MrGrumpy it sounds like the Canadians shouldn’t have much trouble stopping all of it then. Or possibly they failed to stop most if it.

How many people would 21k lbs of fentanyl kill? Wow.
MrGrumpy · M
@joe438 I don’t understand what you mean. Northern border isn’t a problem for fentanyl. At least not yet. Sure, ideal number should be 0. But you can’t compare 21000 to 43.

Did you know Canada also seizes drugs and firearms coming in from US border?

Canada has some of the strictest chemical import regulations. But there will always be some that sneak through cause of errors or evolving chemical components