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Who will win? Let the facts speak for themselves.

Betting odds favor Trump 63% to win.

Based on facts about four swing states:

1. North Carolina: Democrat's voter registration advantage has fallen from 399,000 to 113,000.
2. Pennsylvania: Democrat's voter registration advantage has fallen from 686,000 to 281,000.
3. Arizona: Republicans hold a 259,000 advantage over Democrats.
4.Nevada: Democrat's voter registration advantage has fallen from 111,000 to 45,000.

(Source: Wall Street Journal)
sree251 · 41-45, M
Based on the momentum of Trump supporters who are more fired up now than four years ago, Trump will win the four swing states and take the White House.
@sree251 Based on the momentum of WOMEN, Trump will lose, again, and claim "stolen election" again.
@ElwoodBlues Well we all know that whether Kamala wins by a fraction or by a landslide, Republicans will reject the result.
luckranger71 · 51-55, M
Trump is not winning Pennsylvania. He’s in big trouble in NC, GA and FL. Anything can happen, but don’t come back crying fraud and preparing to go to DC on 1/6 if he loses.
@luckranger71 But wait! What?? "come back crying fraud" is the WHOLE game plan🤣😂🤣😂
luckranger71 · 51-55, M
@ElwoodBlues
windinhishair · 61-69, M
How sad those bettors are going to be when they lose bigly.
Funny thing: those WSJ numbers don't include INDEPENDENT registrations. Given that independents usually swing elections, that's kind of a significant oversight, wouldn't you say??

Also:

In the seven most contested battleground states, women have cast 55% of ballots so far, while men account for 45%, according to Catalist.

The latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll showed Trump trailing Harris among likely female voters by 14-points – a margin that far outpaces his 6-point lead among men.

“Early vote has been disproportionately female,” Charlie Kirk, president of Turning Point Action, a conservative group responsible for much of Trump’s ground strategy, posted on X. “If men stay at home, Kamala is president. It’s that simple.”

Speaking of Charlie Kirk, let's remember his advice from 2016
Trump in a landslide..

But neither side will accept the others victory..
It will drag out for weeks eventually being ruled by SCOTUS that it’s too fraudulant.. and to do it again with paper , no machines, and ID…
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Gibbon · 70-79, M
@TheOneyouwerewarnedabout I think all of us expect it especially with voices mumbling we won't certify if Trump wins.
National corruption anyone?
J6 will vanish in history after this.
Diotrephes · 70-79, M
@sree251
Yes, provided Congress critters collude and run the federal government however they want including in direct violation of the Constitution. As long as no issue is brought to the SCOTUS for resolution, Congress reigns supreme.

Congress has the right to limit what laws the SCOTUS can review unless they are specifically mentioned in the Constitution. All they have to do is to say this law is exempt from judical review and there's not a damn thing any court can do about it. And if the court tries a power play Congress can impeach them and kick their asses off of the bench.
Vin53 · M
Its so obvious, have your own bets on trump rise so high people think its a sure thing and bet, and also those who want Harris but the odds are bad.

The betting agency doesn't pay off their own selves, they win no matter who wins.
@Vin53 Not only that, but those WSJ numbers don't include INDEPENDENT registrations. Given that independents usually swing elections, that's kind of a significant oversight, wouldn't you say??

Perhaps another case of reporting a misleading partial truth??
Gibbon · 70-79, M
Those are some large registration changes. It at least warms the heart that so many are seeing the reality of the dump they've turned our country into.
Who will lose and claim the election was stolen? Let the facts speak for themselves.

“Pennsylvania is cheating, and getting caught, at large scale levels rarely seen before. REPORT CHEATING TO AUTHORITIES. Law Enforcement must act, NOW!” Trump posted Wednesday [Oct 30] on Truth Social.

“An interview by Tucker Carlson of an election expert indicates that 20% of the Mail-In Ballots in Pennsylvania are fraudulent. Here we go again!” Trump posted on Truth Social on Sept. 8.

Nov 1: Justice Department dispatches election monitors to Florida, but state leaders say they can’t enter polling sites

In Michigan last weekend, he suggested there is no way Harris would be campaigning with Beyoncé — one of the biggest stars in the world — if the race were really as close as polls suggest.

“Number one, they cheat like hell. So maybe they know something that we don’t, right?” he said. “They might know something that we don’t, I don’t know. Why the hell would she be celebrating when you’re down? Maybe — never thought of that — maybe she knows something we don’t. But we’re not going to let it happen.”
North carlina is not a swing state
Republicans have won it a long time
windinhishair · 61-69, M
@rocknroll Thank you for proving my point. North Carolina is a swing state in this election, and it isn't surprising based on its recent voting history.
@windinhishair not a swing state at all
windinhishair · 61-69, M
@rocknroll Maybe North carilina is not, but North Carolina is.
justanothername · 51-55, M
Fact: Trump would rather appeal to dominant male voters who are outnumbered by female voters.

Fact: Trump would rather dominate women than appeal to them.
https://amp.cnn.com/cnn/2024/11/01/politics/trump-women-voters-gender-gap-harris
Vin53 · M
The facts are, my little іmbecіӏе, that any billionaire in this country will predict a Trump victory for the sake of their bottom line. They know he will once again cut taxes for the wealthiest Americans whilst raising them for the poor.
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