It’s [b]way[/b] too early to make that prediction. Anyone who thinks his chances are 100% is equally as misguided as anyone who thinks his chances are 0%. He can lose the popular vote by 10 million this time and [i]still[/i] win the electoral map if that 10 million resides in New York, Illinois, and California. Approval ratings mean nothing unless they’re isolated to his ratings in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Wisconsin. Any national average tells us virtually nothing that translates to the electoral map.

I misjudged the electorate once, badly, and given that I think he's been a lot less harmful than I thought he might be so far, I'm not convinced that I wouldn't be totally wrong again if I thought anything that's happened in the last three years would change the minds of most people who voted for him. Regardless of whether most Trump voters are in fact deplorable, I suspect they're unredeemable with Fox still on the air and Republicans putting party over principles.

Plus, it may take a landslide for Republicans not to back him contesting the election if he loses. I'm sure a lot of them secretly want this regime to end, but they've mostly gone all in, and won't have many chips left in their pockets to go home with if they don't stay in until the end.

I wouldn't be totally surprised if Trump tries to secretly cut a no prosecution deal in exchange for not screaming about voter fraud, even then, really. He's certainly set it up with his base already and Putin would love it.

I'm predicting that it'll all come down to new voter turnout, plus fewer protest votes to third party candidates, near perfect execution by Democrats in the general, economic unease at home and a combination of help/and or lack of help from overseas to have anything close to a normal transition of power and start rebuilding the damage he's done.


On the subject of what Trump actually wants, I think you're probably right that at some level, he's probably tired, but I don't think his ego will let him just lose quietly without making it into something he can call a win.

I'll bet he'd need an exit plan, at least a cover, or better yet, a deal that protects him or lines his pockets to slink off.

Please accept that I think President Trump is a dolt. I am not and never have been affiliated with either party.

He did not declare himself as the Second Coming or as King of Israel or even the US. It was more of his self-aggrandizing ham-handed sense of humor. What it did do is once more distract from the increasingly urgent question of - if he does run again, who will be his opponent?

I personally think that whatever else Donald Trump is, he is crafty. Every time any serious public discussion of the next election begins - he does something else to outrage and horrify everyone and changes the focus. Take “I would like you to put Greenland in a bag and sell it to me, and if you don’t, I won’t come to supper” for example.

It is a big, glorious game and he is having a wonderful time. He does not [b]need[/b] to be President. He always thought he was.

The far left thinks he is certifiable, the far right thinks he is the best President ever and the rest of us think everybody’s insane but us. It is the ‘rest of us’ upon whom the election will hang.

If Trump is re-elected, he should invite the Democrats to a thank-you dinner of burgers and fries and humble pie for dessert.

Don’t focus on Trump. It’s 439 days till the next election. Focus on that.

EDIT: The more we hear about Trump, the less we learn about anybody else.

I think Trump is a shoe in for a second term.
#1 He's doing a great job.
#2 No one believes the kind of crap like you posted here.

He will still have his base and the rest of the question will be answered by the economy, if it is good he will be re elected and if it is bad he won't. In a way that is a shame because the economic cycle really does not have anything to do with the president.

Like I said before, it doesn't matter. Donald Trump is perhaps the most self destructive
and insecure US President we have ever seen. His words are constantly putting him in situations that is slowly but surely destroying his legacy relentlessly. It will be like sour grapes in the mouths of his supporters. And once they realize how awful he actually is, for them it will be too late. 🙂

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Let's hope so the alternative so far are a bunch of liberal progay, proabortion, proillegal, antigun, antichristian idiots. Only hope for keeping Americans safe and this country on right path is to destroy the left

There's 14 months to the election. Can people really stomach another year plus of the same kind of madness he's exhibiting now ? I doubt it , and for that reason I'm betting he won't be re-elected.

Same Trump Derangement Syndrome, different day.

No, I don’t think he will be re-elected and it has nothing to do with him being a jerk and everything to do with electoral math.

Once we get beyond the “Trump sucks/liberals suck” poo flinging, the fact of the matter is that I don’t see any state that went with Hillary going for Trump. Maybe Virgina or Nevada are best bets but still unlikely.

On the flip side Trump has to repeat his Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania miracle. While still holding onto places like Iowa, Ohio and Florida where he’s in trouble now.

Still a lot of time until the election, but I think any GOP candidate has an uphill fight.

To be honest I think he drops out of the race when he realizes he won’t win. Then he will blame the deep state as the ones that conspired to get him out of the office

I think he'd rather go back to his own house.

It is impossible to calculate because of statistical limitations but... His victory in 2016 was quite slim through the electoral system in a couple states. There will be more young voters, and moderates and independants are not nearly as diehard fans as his base, which played an integral role in his victory. Overall I think it will be a difficult battle for him, but anything is a possibility.

When he ran, many celebrities and politicians stated outright he would not win, and expressed that sentiment, some with a smug attitude, others somewhat angry, others just stating their belief w/o any indication otherwise. They; and there were a number of them, were all wrong. Will he be re-elected? we'll know in 2020.

It's impossible to say given that elections don't seem to be decided on issues any more. That said, if you declare war on some country before an election, that usually scores you a few approval points.

I wouldn't be surprised if he wasn't bothered either. It's not like he needs it. He's made his money and achieved his goal of being president. He'll say he was the greatest president of all time whether true or not. He's never needed anyone else to make him feel great about himself.

I think it has more to do with his opponent than anything else. If the Democrats don't provide a viable candidate that people can get behind, he might just get re-elected.

He probably will. But I’m looking at Andrew Yang. He has an interesting platform.

I Think He Will Get Reelected He has So Many Followers Who Will Vote him For His Second Term

The only way he can get reelected is if he cheats. And he will cheat.

As far as I know every wartime president got reelected....

He will probably quit when he sense he is not going to win.

Um give actual proof from a real source of his claim to being 2nd coming and king of Israel

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