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The Summer of 2023 was the hottest in “2,000 years”

The stark finding, comes from one of two new studies released on Tuesday, as both global temperatures and climate-warming emissions continue to climb. Scientists had declared last year's June to August period as the warmest since record-keeping began in the 1940s.


New work published in the journal Nature suggests the 2023 heat eclipsed temperatures over a far longer timeline - a finding established by looking at meteorological records dating to the mid-1800s and temperature data based on the analysis of tree rings across nine northern sites.


"When you look at the long sweep of history, you can see just how dramatic recent global warming is," said study co-author Jan Esper, a climate scientist at Johannes Gutenberg University in Germany.

Last year's summer season temperatures on lands between 30 and 90 degrees north latitude reached 2.07 degrees Celsius (3.73 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than pre-industrial averages, the study said.

Based on tree ring data, the summer months in 2023 were on average 2.2 C (4 F) warmer than the estimated average temperature across the years 1 to 1890. The finding was not entirely a surprise. By January, scientists with the European Union's Copernicus Climate Change Service were saying the year of 2023 was "very likely" to have been the warmest in some 100,000 years.


However, proving such a long record is unlikely, Esper said. He and two other European scientists argued in a paper, last year that year-by-year comparisons could not be established over such a vast time scale with current scientific methods, including gleaning temperature data from sources such as marine sediments or peat bogs.


"We don't have such data," Esper said. "That was an overstatement."


Last year's intense summer heat was amplified by the El Nino climate pattern, which typically coincides with warmer global temperatures, leading to "longer and more severe heatwaves, and extended periods of drought," Esper said.
Heatwaves are already taking a toll on people's health, with more than 150,000 deaths in 43 countries linked to heatwaves for each year between 1990 and 2019, according to the details of a second study, published on Tuesday in the journal PLOS.


That would account for about 1% of global deaths - roughly the same toll taken by the global COVID-19 pandemic. More than half of those heatwave-related excess deaths occurred in populous Asia. When the data are adjusted for population size, Europe had the highest per capita toll with an average of 655 heat-related deaths each year per 10 million residents. Within the region, Greece, Malta, and Italy registered the highest excess deaths.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
Good luck, So many on SW deny climate change, they will stand on line to attack this.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Fairydust there you go again, can't you restrain yourself?
Fairydust · F
@samueltyler2

Nope 🤭
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Here's a copypasta from one of my earlier discussions about climate change.

but I've yet to hear a rational explanation of how miniscule increases in an atmospheric trace gas such as CO2, causes the earth to warm.
It's because CO2 & methane are transparent to visible light but more opaque to infrared. The solar energy comes pouring in via the visible spectrum, but the heat can't leave so easily via the infrared spectrum due to that opacity. Kids' version:
https://www.sciencenewsforstudents.org/article/explainer-co2-and-other-greenhouse-gases
idealized quantitative model: https://www.climate-policy-watcher.org/coriolis-force/a-simple-mathematical-model-of-the-greenhouse-effect.html

In order to actually prove human carbon emissions influence climate, all variables would have to remain constant
Nope. With multiple data points we can solve for multiple variables simultaneously. Detailed climate models account for all the variables you list and more. They are verified and calibrated based on 800,000 years of prior climate data.
http://web.mit.edu/globalchange/www/climate.html

Global warming models are based on small amounts of data. The earth is 4.6 billion years old, and we are expected to believe they can draw conclusions based on a hockey stick graph with 50 years of data?
Nope, not 50 years, 800,000 years, covering about 7 ice ages. The climate data comes from bubbles in glacial ice, and is corroborated by data from lake & sea floor sediments.
https://icecores.org/about-ice-cores
CO2 & methane & temp data

Here's where the various data sets were collected:

The most salient thing about the 800,000 years of climate data is the rate of change during those previous 7 ice ages compared to the current rate of change this century.

Where does the money for climate research come from?
Fair question - it comes mostly from the National Science Foundation. Equally fair: where does the money for climate denial come from? The US oil industry makes about $110 billion per year; coal another $20 billion. Big Oil spends $3.6 billion per year on advertising; a sum equal to about 8X the whole NSF climate budget. You're not naive enough to believe none of that money goes to propaganda, are you?
If temperatures are really rising, we should see glaciers melting and receding, right?

OK then, what does the photographic evidence say?

Muir Glacier, Alaska

Muir Glacier and Inlet, Alaska, 1880s and 2005

Carroll Glacier, Alaska, 1906 and 2004

Grinnell Glacier, Montana, 1926 and 2008

Bear Glacier from space 1980. 1989, 2011

Bear Glacier from the air 2002, 2007

Glacier shrinkage driving global changes in downstream systems
https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1619807114

Accelerated global glacier mass loss in the early twenty-first century
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-021-03436-z
Using largely untapped satellite archives, we chart surface elevation changes at a high spatiotemporal resolution over all of Earth’s glaciers. We extensively validate our estimates against independent, high-precision measurements and present a globally complete and consistent estimate of glacier mass change. We show that during 2000–2019, glaciers lost a mass of 267 ± 16 gigatonnes per year, equivalent to 21 ± 3 per cent of the observed sea-level rise6. We identify a mass loss acceleration of 48 ± 16 gigatonnes per year per decade, explaining 6 to 19 per cent of the observed acceleration of sea-level rise.
JoeXP · 56-60, M
I reckon 896 was warmer.
Patriot96 · 56-60, C
Ah those trigger words SCIENTIFIC STUDY, SCIENTISTS SAY. Then the sheeple believe anything.
Did the use tree rings, or groundhog farts
QueenOfZaun · 26-30, F
@sladejr Of course we need carbon dioxide to survive. Nobody is saying that we don’t.

Pollution is the introduction of harmful materials into the environment.
The problem is that we have an overabundance of carbon dioxide emissions which is accelerating the greenhouse effect.
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QueenOfZaun · 26-30, F
@sladejr You think I want to eliminate all mammals? That’s pretty insane.


How about we phase out fossil fuels because they’re damaging to the environment, are becoming more costly economically and their use is becoming increasingly impractical given the current advances in technology and logically they are a non renewable resource whose continued use becomes more banal as time goes on.
Fairydust · F
@QueenOfZaun


Lol that’s what they want you to believe. 😆


samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Fairydust who is the "they" that are creating these events that you say? I saw that in a James Bond movie, but not in real life.
Patriot96 · 56-60, C
@QueenOfZaun science is verifiable, doubt YOUR science is verifiable
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
It is a shame we don't see who and what ignorant comments are being posted.
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@samueltyler2 Yeah, many of the threads here were started by people who blocked me. It's happened multiple times here that someone makes a climate denial post, I post a bunch of facts, graphs, images, etc, and the denier blocks me.

Here's one example:
https://similarworlds.com/environment/climate-change/4798302-There-is-no-climate-emergency-Why-do-so-many-nut-cases-say
patriot 69 blocks me, but perhaps you can convey to him how past temperatures are measured.

There are two independent measures, the hydrogen vs deuterium ratio, and the O18 vs O16 oxygen isotope ratio. They are both driven by evaporation rates; the lighter isotopes evaporate slightly more rapidly.

These can be measured in glacial layers (lotta H & O in a glacier) and in sea floor sediments.

Further info: https://www.ces.fau.edu/nasa/module-3/how-is-temperature-measured/isotopes.php
nudistsueaz · 61-69, F
The government here doesn't care
SunshineGirl · 36-40, F
@nudistsueaz In the USA? The government seems to be investing very heavily in renewable energy, technology, etc.
nudistsueaz · 61-69, F
@SunshineGirl not really, it's mostly smoke and mirrors.
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Patriot96 · 56-60, C
Thats nice deary. I didnt hear of anyone spontaneously combust
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RoxClymer · 41-45, M
and just like the movie Soylent Green
temps are just going to rise
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