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hippyjoe1955 · 70-79, M
Covid has an extremely high survival rate. 99.7% of people who get it fully recover without treatment. Depending on the type of cancer it can be very lethal or a minor inconvenience. (lung cancer has a 20% survival rate. Benign skin cancers are little more than a spot on the skin.
SW-User
@hippyjoe1955 But the likelihood of contracting lung cancer is massively lower than SARS-COV-2 getting into you via the ACE2 receptor.
In the UK we have about 35,500 deaths a year from lung cancer. Currently our deaths from Covid are 60,000 and we've still got at least a quarter to go.
So risk of dying from Covid is at least in the UK twice your risk of Covid. And if you don't smoke your lung cancer risk is much lower than even the population to 35,500 ratio.
Covid has a survival rate of taking your 99.7%. So that is 3 in every 1,000 who catch it.
If the vaccine is 90% effective we at least stop 2 of those deaths if not all 3. Mathematically if our 1,000 were all vaccinated now only 100 are going to get it so 0.3 of a person will die.
But with the 90% effectiveness in our 1,000 population now 900 people aren't infected and passing it around - so on a simple probability model the chances of the 10 getting infected must reduce significantly. So the figure gets so close it must tend towards zero.
In the UK we have about 35,500 deaths a year from lung cancer. Currently our deaths from Covid are 60,000 and we've still got at least a quarter to go.
So risk of dying from Covid is at least in the UK twice your risk of Covid. And if you don't smoke your lung cancer risk is much lower than even the population to 35,500 ratio.
Covid has a survival rate of taking your 99.7%. So that is 3 in every 1,000 who catch it.
If the vaccine is 90% effective we at least stop 2 of those deaths if not all 3. Mathematically if our 1,000 were all vaccinated now only 100 are going to get it so 0.3 of a person will die.
But with the 90% effectiveness in our 1,000 population now 900 people aren't infected and passing it around - so on a simple probability model the chances of the 10 getting infected must reduce significantly. So the figure gets so close it must tend towards zero.
hippyjoe1955 · 70-79, M
@SW-User We have no idea. Our testing is 97% false positive and those who are 'diagnosed' by test alone are not actual covid cases. The diagnosis of covid can only be given by a doctor who has examined the patient along with the test results. If you were 'diagnosed' with cancer on such a flimsy pretext you would die from anxiety. There is no great 'pandemic' that it killing millions of people. The death rate among ALL age groups is normal. No sudden spike in deaths. Strange.
SW-User
@hippyjoe1955 I need to find the infographic that explains why that is a complete misinterpretation of the actual facts.
The BMJ created it....
The BMJ created it....
SW-User
Got it ...
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1808/infographic
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1808/infographic
SW-User
It shows actually we are under reporting the numbers - one one person who doesn't have it gets a false positive.
SW-User
Longer explanation
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1808
https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1808