538 give England a 26% chance of winning the WC.

I will say this about England and their chances. First, Pickford is playing like a beast and a hot goalie can carry you far. Second, unlike other teams they are not relying on their star (Harry Kane) to carry the team. And third, unlike other teams they bought in to doing the little things well, like set pieces. So I like the chances at this point and I'd say a little better than 30%.