Just How Close Was the 2024 Presidential Election?

Electoral Votes *
312 Trump
226 Harris
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*270 needed to win

Popular Vote
77,302,580 Trump
75,017,613 Harris

% of the Popular Vote
49.8% Trump
48.3% Harris

Pennsylvania
3,543,308 ... 50.37% Trump
3,423,042 ... 48.66% Harris
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120,266 - a flip of 60,134 votes gives Harris the state's 19 electoral votes

Michigan
2,816,636 ... 49.73% Trump
2,736,533 ... 48.31% Harris
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70,103 - a flip of 25,052 votes gives Harris the state's 15 electoral votes

Wisconsin
1,697,626 ... 49.60% Trump
1,668,229 ... 48.74% Harris
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29,387 - a flip of 14,699 votes gives Harris the state's 10 electoral votes

A flip of 99,885 votes in the above three states as noted would have given Harris 44 more electoral votes - and the presidency, 270-268.

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samueltyler2 · 80-89, M

Could have, would have, should have.

Look at total voters in each of the states and proportionality. If the had voted, who would have won?

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@samueltyler2

Look at total voters in each of the states and proportionality. If the had voted, who would have won?

We don't know. Because many of the people who don't vote are the same people who don't respond to pollster's questions.

Both parties like to assume that if everyone voted, their party would have won. But there's no way to draw a solid conclusion without evidence.