The US election is too close to call.
I was predicting a probable trump win but a late surge in support for Harris means it's on a knife edge.
41-45, M
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Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@Elessar @Mesthartiya Predicting anything is difficult. Betting markets and odds matter because their is money at stake. It's never something that is far wrong
Polling is complicated because their are multiple factors and things are weighed in accordance with variables.
What's changed the odds is the early voting being heavily female in the battle ground states. It could be a game changer.
We'll know for sure I'm five days. Or five months, after the court cases.
Polling is complicated because their are multiple factors and things are weighed in accordance with variables.
What's changed the odds is the early voting being heavily female in the battle ground states. It could be a game changer.
We'll know for sure I'm five days. Or five months, after the court cases.
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ElwoodBlues · M
tRump's people have put out some warnings that sound like they have a woman problem.
In the seven most contested battleground states, women have cast 55% of ballots so far, while men account for 45%, according to Catalist.
The latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll showed Trump trailing Harris among likely female voters by 14-points – a margin that far outpaces his 6-point lead among men.
“Early vote has been disproportionately female,” Charlie Kirk, president of Turning Point Action, a conservative group responsible for much of Trump’s ground strategy, posted on X. “If men stay at home, Kamala is president. It’s that simple.”
In the seven most contested battleground states, women have cast 55% of ballots so far, while men account for 45%, according to Catalist.
The latest ABC News/Ipsos national poll showed Trump trailing Harris among likely female voters by 14-points – a margin that far outpaces his 6-point lead among men.
“Early vote has been disproportionately female,” Charlie Kirk, president of Turning Point Action, a conservative group responsible for much of Trump’s ground strategy, posted on X. “If men stay at home, Kamala is president. It’s that simple.”
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
@ElwoodBlues I really, really hope Charlie is right. Lives are literally depending on this election, including mine.
ElwoodBlues · M
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
@ElwoodBlues I know that's got all the incels in an uproar. Daring to say that women can choose to vote for whatever candidate they want?
CountScrofula · 41-45, M
Mesthartiya · M
@CountScrofula I think abortion is going to win it for Harris
CountScrofula · 41-45, M
@Mesthartiya That's a fair guess. I've given up on predictions lol
anythingoes477 · M
The only "knife's edge" is in the media and what is being released by slanted pollsters. trump stooges are saying this to scare every trumper they can to vote. The media is saying this because trump is their money maker. EVERYDAY he says something even more insane or delusional and insane sells.
The media knows trump will give them material until he finally gets locked up...for MONTHS. How the poor baby was cheated again...yadi yadi.......and the media wants to keep that in their news cycle as long as the can. So they build it as "close"------to give trump a reason to say he was cheated BY A LOT..when he loses....for months and months and months.
The media knows trump will give them material until he finally gets locked up...for MONTHS. How the poor baby was cheated again...yadi yadi.......and the media wants to keep that in their news cycle as long as the can. So they build it as "close"------to give trump a reason to say he was cheated BY A LOT..when he loses....for months and months and months.
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
@anythingoes477 The good news is, it's easy to convince Trumpers not to vote because they're already convinced the election is rigged.
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Bumbles · 51-55, M
This isn’t a fair and free election. In the end Trump will be installed, not elected. Trump will declare victory. Hundreds of lawsuits have already been filed. Red states will take advantage of the chaos and declare Trump the victor. The Supreme Trump Court will declare him the victor if necessary.
Kamala Harris has zero chance of victory, tried as she did. The old Confederate states demand fascism and white power, and they will get it.
Kamala Harris has zero chance of victory, tried as she did. The old Confederate states demand fascism and white power, and they will get it.
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SomeMichGuy · M
Frodo and Sam will be able to destroy the One Ring and overthrow DJT/Sauron...
jehova · 31-35, M
Im betting its harris by a landslide but we will see.
An optimist I see.
AthrillatheHunt · 51-55, M
Agreed
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
MethDozer · M
@NativePortlander1970 come on dude, you couldn't possibly believe I was from Wallis and Futuna. Like this site is big enough to have anyone from some tiny middle of nowhere back water island nation most people never even heard of with a population about the size Rhode Island .
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