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Janet Yellen predicts US Dollar crash . . . er . . . “decline as a global currency” . . .



Photo above - screenshot from the film Pale Rider, when Spider Conway takes his gold nugget to town. This does not end well for Mr. Conway . . .

When I first read the MSN link below, my reaction was . . . “WTH? She's baaack? Predicting economic doom and gloom? Doesn't Janet Yellen know that the president is facing a tough election in 2024?” Then I read more closely. The link is just a recycled Janet speech from several months ago. Before she was locked in Rapunzel's Tower and forbidden to let her hair out. Janet's warning is old news. That doesn't mean it's wrong, however . . .

Our Treasury Secretary warns that the US dollar is certain to “decline as global currency”. Oh my . . . is there anything we can do? Apparently not. Janet admits there is no contingency plan. When will this decline take place? Second half of 2024, in the runup to the election. Sheesh . . . no wonder she was locked up. I used to send my daughter to her room also, for talking back.

Janet's acquaintance with the real world, of course, is ephemeral. America's treasury secretary lives in a mansion. She is chauffeured to work each day, but not in an EV. As the holder of 4 legitimate degrees and 7 honorary ones, Janet is not obliged to have conversations with real people. Ms. Yellen did, last year, agree to cold call a bunch of America's richest CEOS, to tell them to toe the line on the federal budget. In this case, toe the line meant sign up for MORE budget deficits. The CEOs were told to call their congresspersons and tell them that more spending AND a higher national debt were needed. And in the 9 months since those spam calls the national debt has rocketed past both the $33 trillion and $34 trillion ceilings. One third of every dollar congress spends is now borrowed. Janet would probably tell us that this is the only thing we can do because America – like the US dollar – is inevitably declining.

This is sort of like deciding to max out your credit cards, when you hear that salary cuts and layoffs are coming. “There is nothing else we can do”. Your only hope is to spend as much as you can, as quickly as you can, right?

This “dollar is dying” article both hilarious and scary. The bot that wrote this (no human author is credited) tells us there IS a solution. “Buy gold”. Yep . . . I told you this was hilarious. But if you buy gold stocks, when paper assets (or electronic ones) start a death spiral, who knows if you can convert those shares in Newmont Mining to physical gold? And if you DO hoard physical gold, there are any number of (bot-written) articles that tell you what NOT to do: don't go out to the street with your fistful of Krugerrands and try to buy a gun to protect yourself. It won't end well. At the end of that transaction someone is going to have both the gun AND the gold.

Janet actually deserves an 8th honorary degree – in literature? - for writing a gothic horror story too subtle for the average reader to get. When the dollar declines/crashes, and nobody wants to buy US T-bills, then mortgage and other interest rates could be WAAAY past 10 percent. Your 401K will be in the basement. Social security – at least part of it – could still be there (we're talking in the 2030's), but most pensions will have been cut in half by inflation's relentless gnawing.

America might end up looking like Brazil, Argentina . . . or even England. These are all places that used to be wealthy. Until their currencies crashed, and only the people who own real estate had anything left. If you're not a landowner in those nations your only pleasures now are Mardi Gras, soccer, and pub crawls.

The people who got the hidden message in Janet's horror story are buying real estate. That's why a two-bedroom condo costs $500,000. And a detached home that was originally built for $180,000 a generation ago now lists for a million. With a crashing dollar this is a self-perpetuating feedback loop.

I'm just sayin' . . .

'A natural desire to diversify': Janet Yellen predicted an eventual decline in the USD as the global reserve currency — and she's not alone in making that call. 3 ways you can prepare in 2024 (msn.com)
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badminton · 61-69, MVIP
It's all about international confidence. When the federal budget is going to be held hostage be a certain party threatening a government shut-down, that makes other nations very nervous. It makes the U.S. political system and economy look unstable. If we have another federal budget shut-down other countries are going to look for a more stable currancy.
boudinMan · 61-69, M
@badminton you say it will cost 5% more in taxes for universal health care, but when has the government ever accurately estimated costs?
badminton · 61-69, MVIP
@boudinMan Other countries have no problem with universal healthcare systems. They are universally popular. In the last ten or so years over ten million Americans have immigrated from the U.S. to other countries, such as Ecuador, Thailand, Spain and Portugal. The single main reason they site for moving is unaffordable healthcare costs in the U.S.

FYI - In countries with universal healthcare there no such thing as "pre-existing conditions." That is just called medical history.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@badminton i don't care if prospective buyers of T-Bills are "nervous". my main concern is to stop spending on stuff we can't afford. Voters should be listened to more closely, instead of accountants in Saudi Arabia and London.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
We arent at the bit where I say "I told you so" yet. But others are saying it now...😷
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@whowasthatmaskedman saying "i told you so" never brings any satisfaction. especially when you're standing over the grave of a friend, or the US economy.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
@SusanInFlorida Agreed..But for anyone with an ounce of economic nouse, the writing has been on the wall since Bush2 bailed out the banks, that the US was going to try to talk its way out of this one yet again. America capitalized on being the reserve trade currency for decades. And they may even be some justification for taking some cream after being the mainspring of post WW2 rebuilding. But American capitalism got greedier and greedier and in the end created fictional money and sold it internationally. Since then, there is no such thing as "too big to fail" and what goes up will eventually come down.. Having your country be the "Gold Standard" only works if you keep that standard yourself..😷
GerOttman · 61-69, M
Selling my my stocks now, stocking up on canned goods and ammo.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@GerOttman did you watch "the last of US"? I think this show is from HBO . . .
GerOttman · 61-69, M
@SusanInFlorida I think I've heard of it, have not watched.
badminton · 61-69, MVIP
Traditional Irish financial wisdom: don't invest in business, invest in land.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@badminton i love this advice. as long as the land doesn't grow potatoes, and you end up having a 3 year crop failure/famine, right?
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
I'm just waiting for people to realize all currencies are nothing more than IOUs issued by governments.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
@LordShadowfire The point is that this "supertax" rate existed for those it applied to, as well as progressively higher rates.. And more important social statement there was a sense of equity. That if the nation was generous to you, you gave back something, not kept taking and asking for more as "entitlement." That meant the middle class in particular aspired to greater things for their children.. That sense really only exists with migrants now who push everything in the direction of their children. No Picks ups, beer and bootscooting for them..😷
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
@whowasthatmaskedman Exactly this. I think it's hilarious that her own source even proved it.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
@LordShadowfire But its all perspective. Its not really important that it raised a lot. Its just important that the obligation existed, to instill the attitude that "we are all part of this" Thats gone now,,😷
MethDozer · M
We don't even have Mardi Gras except in one place. We just get football and sports bars. Doesn't sound much different to be honest .
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@MethDozer my mardigras reference was to brazil. but we have a simliar celebration in new orleans.
MethDozer · M
@SusanInFlorida I get that. My reference was it's already the same here but without Mardi Gras and pub crawls.

 
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