New poll Dems take the lead

New Economist/YouGov poll has Dems +4 in the generic congressional ballot, a 5-point swing in their favor over the last week. GOP lead in RCP Average shrinks to +1.9

Broken down by gender the GOP holds a 48/40% edge with male voters, while the Democrats lead among female voters 52/35%.
Democrats also hold an edge on voters 18 to 44, but the GOP takes a lead among 44 and older, making clear that turn out will considerably impact the outcome. The poll of 1,500 Americans carried a 3.2% margin of error.

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ron122 · 41-45, M

Dems take the lead in bullsh-t.🤮

Ryderbike

@ron122

tindrummer · M

@Ryderbike reminiscent of Nuremberg

Ryderbike

@tindrummer yep…trump fascist movement

LeopoldBloom · M

Michael Moore is predicting a blue tsunami. You can dismiss him as a partisan, but he did predict Trump's win in 2016.

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LeopoldBloom · M

@hunkalove He said there was a risk that Trump would win in 2020.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2020/aug/29/michael-moore-donald-trump-repeat-2016-warning

Trump almost won. Biden beat him by 7 million votes total, but because of our obsolete, slave-era Electoral College, Biden only won by 44,000 votes in six states. If those had gone the other way, Trump would have won.

Ryderbike

@LeopoldBloom I am certain Michael Moore considered the electoral college when he made his prediction. Furthermore if it wasn’t for the electoral college there would never be another Republican elected and rightly so.

LeopoldBloom · M

@Ryderbike The Electoral College makes elections far closer than they need to be. If we had a national popular vote, it would have been obvious that Biden won a few hours after the polls closed, and the "stolen election" narrative wouldn't have gained any traction. But because elections are so close and results depend on individual state outcomes, they're much harder to predict unless they're a complete blowout.

tindrummer · M

counting on honest counts in red states is no longer a given

Ryderbike

@tindrummer Oh I know how the fascists work. They believe nothing except what dear leader tells him.

Psst That’s why it’s called a fascist movement.

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Ryderbike

Looks like women are going to decide the election. Let’s hope enough turn out.

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Ryderbike

@LvChris of course, Turn out is everything

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