Place your bets ! How many Tory MP's are going to vote that they have no confidence in the PM ?

@helenS Less than 25 ?

@LegendofPeza That would be my prediction, yes.

@helenS Nah , that's impossible. It took 54 MP's expressing their disapproval just to get the vote , so they're already in the bag. I think it's going to be at least a hundred.

@LegendofPeza You don't think there will be a lot of pressure imposed on those?

@helenS It's a secret ballot so people can genuinely vote their conscience.

@LegendofPeza Ok I'm not British, so I don't know all the details. On the Continent it's not on page 1.

@LegendofPeza Or at variance with their public statements. Every Cabinet Minister who said anything publicly promised to support him, but I bet some didn’t.

@helenS 🤔 too right the tory chief whip will be doing the rounds trying to talk tory back benchers either to abstain or vote no . then we are stuck with the trump clown but this partygate is not going to go away . if johnson stays he is a liablity to his party and the british voter has a long memory . many tory mp may find this out when they lose the seat at the next general election.

@smiler2012 Much as I dislike the way he has behaved and led the party (had I been a Tory MP I would have voted against him) I’m not sure you are right. I can’t, at the moment, see a prospective Tory leader who is likely to do better in a general election.

@MartinII i thought that snivelling little weasel gove would be up for it . i am not a tory and never will but i just do not trust gove he looks exactly what he is . then if you are correct the tories have problems . this partygate is not going to go away as i said . you are the government with a prime minister reputation tarnished . do you think this will not come back too haunt the tories if johnson stays in post at the next general election

@smiler2012 I agree with you about Gove. I used to like him, but he has proved to be unprincipled and authoritarian. As to how the next election might go, under any leader, I think the Opposition will have a big influence on that. And so far Starmer has shown a remarkable tendency to miss open goals!