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DrWatson · 70-79, M
I find the breakdown by age to be the most revealing, in that it gives a hint about the future. (Some of these variables are related to each other: for example "single" and "young" are not independent variables.)
I also found it interesting that in those Biden scenarios with younger voters, Texas flips blue. I think that if Texas eventually becomes a blue state, it will be hard for Republicans to win the presidency.
I also found it interesting that in those Biden scenarios with younger voters, Texas flips blue. I think that if Texas eventually becomes a blue state, it will be hard for Republicans to win the presidency.
DrWatson · 70-79, M
@GerOttman Yes, I do realize that political positions shift for many people as they age. I would never assume that the percent voting democrat will remain constant for any cohort of people as time passes. Still, the stark contrasts here might indicate that even taking that into account, we might be seeing a glimpse of the future.
At any rate, I think for the foreseeable future, the presidential elections will be very close, just as the past two were, with narrow margins in swing states making the difference.
At any rate, I think for the foreseeable future, the presidential elections will be very close, just as the past two were, with narrow margins in swing states making the difference.