Only logged in members can reply and interact with the post.
Join SimilarWorlds for FREE »

Donald Trump will win reelection. Do you agree ... ?

[quote]The United States
Donald Trump will win reelection (55 percent)
This is a close one, but I think the balance of evidence favors a Trump reelection. The basics are simple: Decades of political science work on election forecasting imply that presidents running for reelection enjoy an incumbency advantage, that a strong economy helps the incumbent’s party, and that high levels of US military fatalities hurt the incumbent’s party.

In short: Trump is the incumbent, the economy is growing while unemployment stays very low, and despite some close calls, Trump hasn’t started new wars or expanded existing ones in ways that kill a lot of US service members. Combine that with Trump’s geographic advantage over the Democratic nominee in the Electoral College, and I think he has a better than even chance of winning.

[/quote]


[b]https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2020/1/13/21055740/trump-reelection-biden-nomination-brexit-2020-predictions[/b]
This page is a permanent link to the reply below and its nested replies. See all post replies »
Graylight · 51-55, F
Entirely possible, though I think the first Bush would take issue with the logic.

We'll have to wait and see. Trump may be re-elected but he'll still have to prove fitness for office.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Now here is someone who already was fit for office, right?
wanderingelf · 61-69, M
@sunsporter1649 He was ten times the man the asshat you're peddling will ever be. If this is your judgement of character, you should probably spend most of your time at home.
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Care to read Obama's and Trump’s qualifications side by side?
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@wanderingelf Like "some guy in the neighborhood", bill ayers, right?
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight LOL just what exactly had barry big ears done before running for office?
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 The post was rhetorical. Do the research.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight "Americas chickens have come home to roost."
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Not uttered by Obama, notsupported by Obama, in fact condemned by Obama.

So do you have a point, or should I hold you responsible anything that happens within 100 yards of you?
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight "Not God Bless America, God Damn America."
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 "I was the person who saved Pre-Existing Conditions in your healthcare."

"Over the last two years, the number of murders in America and America’s major cities has dropped, unlike here (Chicago), by more than 10%."

"The first so-called second hand information ‘Whistleblower’ got my phone conversation almost completely wrong."

"Originally "almost all models predicted" Dorian would hit Alabama."

"There has never been, ever before, an administration that’s been so open and transparent."

"The noise (from windmills) causes cancer."

Says his father, Fred Trump, was "born in a very wonderful place in Germany."

"When Congress sought documents from President Barack Obama, the White House "didn’t do anything. They didn’t give one letter of the request. Many requests were made. They didn’t give a letter."

Says troops recently received "one of the biggest pay raises" ever, and that it was the first pay increase in "more than 10 years."

"If you buy, you know, a box of cereal, if you do anything, you have a voter ID. … The only thing you don’t is if you’re a voter of the United States."

In California, "they're rioting now" over sanctuary cities.

Says Wisconsin "hadn’t been won by a Republican since Dwight D. Eisenhower, in 1952. And I won Wisconsin. … Ronald Reagan, remember, Wisconsin was the state that Ronald Reagan did not win."


"James Comey Memos just out and show clearly that there was NO COLLUSION and NO OBSTRUCTION"

[i]ALL moronic, reckless quotes by the actual idiot himself, Donald "Jenius" Trump, ALL proven to be wholly unsubstantiated or outright lies.[/i]

Want to continue?
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Sure do, your paddling's are guaranteed here, and only points out your inability to provide the American people with important issue resolution
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Words randomly strung together do not a sentence make.

Go home - you're drunk.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Kinda like your articles of impeachment, eh
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Yeah, except one makes enough sense to go to trial.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Words randomly stung together do not an impeachment make
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Still a stupid thing to say, no matter how you say it.

This isn't a liberal party - this took bipartisan agreement.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight LOL, bipartisan my ass, look at who are the dolts carrying the articles across the Capital rotunda
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Do you know how American government work.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Its obvious the democrap party is ignorant of how it works
Graylight · 51-55, F
@sunsporter1649 Shhh...they're warming up your bottle now.
sunsporter1649 · 70-79, M
@Graylight Keep drinking from pelosi's vineyards, she sure is sampling her product