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Has Trump's decision on Iran put America on the path to war?

Bernie Sanders thinks so. This looks like Iraq mark 2.

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/may/14/nuclear-deal-trump-america-war
Northwest · M
Agree with what Bernie is saying, and nothing we have not discussed on SW.

What Bernie does not discuss, but hints at, is the fact that this is completely driven by an alignment of interests, between Israel's hard right wing and the Sunni led oil Gulf states.

The extreme Sunnis, who brought us ISIS, and the Israeli extreme right, may seem like strange bedfellows, but in fact, radical Sunni Islam, has no interest in anything beyond its current borders, and as long as it is given access to Islam's holy sites, it cares very little about what happens to the West Bank. After all, they treat the Palestinians who work in their countries, as if they're disposable.

Trump just wants to be Trump. His Middle East policy, is dictated by a number of extremists, and this includes his former bankruptcy attorney, who is now out Ambassador to Israel, and his inauguration committee Chairman, an extremist Christian of Lebanese ancestry, who can't get over what the Palestinians did to Lebanon (from his own perspective).

To Netanyahu, it's about Hezballah, and without Iran, Hezballah cannot exist. Hezballah, may be religiously driven, but the rank and file, and a good part of the leadership, are not religious fanatics. As in, you're not going to find any of them strapping explosive belts, and blowing people up in the name of religion. They are, however, committed to the end if necessary, to resisting ISIS, and whatever succeeds it, as well as driving Israel out of disputed tiny piece of land, in Southern Lebanon. They would also be happy to see a Lebanon style, single State solution in Israel.

The difference between Hezballah's wet dream and Netanyahu, is that the former is one where all religions co-exist, and the latter is one where all Palestinians are driven out of the West Bank, and Israeli Arabs are reduced through attrition.

Trump is completely clueless about what all this means, and only sees power as the only factor. This is why I don't rule war out. Both Netanyahu and Lieberman are itching to attack Iran, as it is Hezballah's master.

If Israel initiates action, short of nuking Iran, which is not something the world community is going to stand for, they will fail, and it will turn into another Iraq entanglement that will draw in both the Russians and the Chinese.

The best course of action, would have been to leave things be. Iran's secular middle class grows stronger by the day. When the treaty sunsets, the likelihood is that the Mullhas will no longer be in power, and in their place, will be a secular democracy, not another quest for the bomb.

We all but guaranteed that this is not going to happen, unless Europe manages to control the situation.

PS: yes, the current Iranian regime is bad, their support for Hezballah is bad, their support for Assad is bad. It is up to Europe now to negotiate an exist for Assad, that guarantees Syria's minorities, will not be under an extremist Sunni majority, and addresses Hezballah's issues with Israel. We, the US, are no longer a reliable and impartial broker.
RodionRomanovitch · 56-60, M
His refusal to countenance ( or even read ) European proposals which addressed his supposed concerns about the failings of the deal , strongly suggests that military action is inevitable , whether that be by the US or Israel(It's Netanyahu who's really calling the tune here , not Trump). Sanders' Iraq analogy is correct , as is the certainty of the catastrophic consequences that will follow any such action. It's hard to believe that the folly of Iraq could be repeated so soon , until you are reminded that the current occupant of the White House is actually a madman.
Madgirl · 26-30, F
no the europeans are trying to fix stuff with giving iran better deals...

if anything this has isolated america and they are now the4 bad guys in the conflict
jackson55 · M
@Madgirl Many of the things Obama did was by excitive order. That's so he doesn't have to deal with congress. They are not binding and can be undone. Excitive orders don't work for international agreements. Obama was not the king of the US, he was the president and to make international deals they have to be agreed to by the US congress. If Trump makes a deal with Iran or North Korea it will have to be agreed to by the US congress or it will be no deal just like the one between Obama and Iran.
What country do you live in?
Madgirl · 26-30, F
@jackson55 i am from germany, and if you send your president around putting his signature under pieces of paper everyone will assume they are a deal is a deal.

you better get your presidents under control cause otherwise noone is gonna believe you
jackson55 · M
[@ That's what we've been talking about. Obama didn't sign anything and Kerry didn't have the authority to make a deal that the house and senate didn't agree to. Everybody has to be in agreement for there to be a deal and a real treaty. Iran doesn't want to give up their nukes and anyone that thinks they will are nuts. Even in the fantasy world that there was something signed what makes you think that Iran would pay any attention to it? They cheat just like North Korea cheats. Being nice to them isn't going to solve anything. They see it as weekness.
room101 · 51-55, M
It's possible. Trump needs to distract the American people from all of his BS. And there is no better distraction than a war with a Muslim country.

Fingers crossed, better heads in Congress will prevail.
room101 · 51-55, M
@Master1A Fortunately for me, I don't live in America (something which you would have known had you bothered to look at my profile instead of making dumbass assumptions). And no, my head isn't ready to explode. But yours clearly is.

Wait for it.........here comes the bit where you go apeshit that a non-American is criticizing your orange overlord.
Master1A · 70-79, M
@room101 your right. no need to look at the profile of any Trump hater, especially a foreigner who has no real stake in what goes on in My country. And the same question still applies to you... What is worse in your life since Trump took office ?? LOL. you are just another Trump hater trying to run your mouth and jump on the libtard bandwagon..
room101 · 51-55, M
@Master1A No need to jump on any bandwagons and, as you obviously missed it, the topic of discussion is of global significance.
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
Maybe. The dems have been screaming that Trump will get us into multiple wars for awhile now.

Weren't you all so sure just 6 months ago that we were going to war with North Korea? How's that going?
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
@room101 It's sad that you find my question a put down. No wonder you responded the way you did. And no, you didn't answer. You posted a news article stating information I was already aware of. I asked if you had any further thoughts about that piece of news. You seemingly decided I was insulting you by asking questions and here we are.

No matter, I don't care what you think anymore. Clearly you are paranoid and kinda deranged.
room101 · 51-55, M
@SumKindaMunster and clearly you're a wuss who can't handle being called out. see ya', wouldn't wanna be ya'

👋
SumKindaMunster · 51-55, M
@room101 Ha ha ha, whatever you need to believe so you can sleep at night faggot. Toodles!
Xuan12 · 31-35, M
Well, North Korea has shown that you can still develop nuclear weapons with a shoestring economy and near constant famine, so the economic factor isn't as big a hurdle as it once was. If we're not willing to use diplomacy, the only other option to prevent nuclear proliferation comes down to espionage or force, both of which are temporary measures that may face backlash that in turn makes Iran even more determined to get the bomb.

Basically, I'm of the opinion that nuclear proliferation is inevitable. All we can do is try to slow it down without exacerbating the situation and hope to cope with the nuclear future.
Dlrannie · 31-35, F
Whether America itself is on the path to war I don't know but Trumps recent actions have done nothing to aid peace in a region that has been a powder keg for decades.
Master1A · 70-79, M
And Bernie would know anything about it why ? He is a socialist and a card carrying Trump hater... So anything he says it totally tainted with hate and envy.
Master1A · 70-79, M
LOL. we have been at war with iran for years and if you don't realize it your not paying attention... and so now this is just the same shit that came out when Mr.Trump stood up to NK... 60 years we have been at war there and now there will be talks and agreements... Iran is run by assholes but they are not completely stupid assholes... THey have seen that Trump is not like any other President that has ever held the office since Lincoln. you piss him off and he does just what he has promised and iran really doesn't want their country destroyed any more than it already has been... Obama sold the U.S. out to iran and his muslim overlords FOR KICKBACK MONEY... Trump will put on sanctions and shut iran down just as he did to NK.. No matter how committed people are to their religion when they are starving and they know their leaders are the cause . they will remove their leaders to eat.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@Master1A You haven't read the article then?
beckyromero · 36-40, F
@Burnley123 I'd prefer no [b]NUCLEAR[/b] war with Iran.

Even if that means we fight a convention one to prevent a nuclear one.

If hundreds of thousands of Iranians in government-led demonstrations were chanting "Death to Russia", burning Russian flags and Vladimir Putin in effigy and calling him the Great Satan, building wooded mock-ups of Russian naval vessels and destroying them in propaganda videos, I wonder how long it would be before you'd see Russian divisions mass along the borders of Armenia and Azerbaijan?
GunSmoke9 · 56-60, M
I don't think so. Too bad that the Europeans and others won't back Trump.
room101 · 51-55, M
@GunSmoke9 I attack without facts? Are you frigging serious. You're the one who made the bogus claim that Obama paid Iran billions of dollars. That money had been [b]owed[/b] to Iran since 1979. Those four American citizens were released after fourteen months of negotiations.

"I don't care what was owned them."

That's what you said. You don't care about debt and you don't care about facts

And the word that you were looking for was [b]owed[/b], not owned.

[b]Idiot![/b]

GunSmoke9 · 56-60, M
@room101 You are the idiot who can't see the danger of Iran. Or paying ransom to get Americans out. You are naive enough to believe what Iran says, I'm not.
room101 · 51-55, M
@GunSmoke9 There you go again with your false accusations and paranoid delusions. Where have I said that I believe anything that Iran says? Where have I said that I don't see any danger coming from Iran? What I said was:

"I know all too well how dangerous Iran is. I just don't think that your moron in chief has any idea about how to deal with them. He certainly doesn't have a clue about the JCPOA."

Whether the $400 million payment was a ransom payment or not, is a contested issue. Which is why I said:

"No chump, you paid $400m as part payment of what was owed to them. This payment was conditional on the release of hostages. It was then followed up by a further $1.3 billion to settle the full debt."

Add an inability to read to your list of deficiencies.

You talk about sanctions like they've never been tried before. How well have sanctions worked against North Korea? Did they curtail their nuclear arms program? Did they compromise the despotic regime in North Korea? No and no. Not even a little bit.

How about Iran. The West has imposed sanctions against Iran for decades. Want to know what results they yielded? An increase in support for hard-line fundamentalists and, an unabated nuclear arms program. Until the JCPOA was negotiated and adopted!

Oh and by the way, seeing as you like facts so much, do you have any facts which support your assertion that Iran put the $1.7 billion into their "nuke program"? Do you have any facts that support the claim that Iran actually has a "nuke program"?

I ask because all of the inspectors who are charged with monitoring Iran unanimously confirm that they do not. Just like everybody confirmed that Iraq didn't have any WMD's.
plinkplonk · F
We are [i]already[/i] at war with Iran.

The State Department accuses Iran of supporting the brutal reign of Syrian President Bashar Assad, and terrorist groups and militias in Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon and the Gaza Strip. Iran also continues to test ballistic missiles, despite a United Nations Security Council resolution forbidding such tests while the 2015 nuclear deal negotiated by President Barack Obama is in force.

They are not American allies. Far from it.
room101 · 51-55, M
@plinkplonk I think you may need to read up on what being at war actually means.
plinkplonk · F
@room101 War v 1. engage in a war (synonym) "be in conflict"

I guess the word is up for interpretation.
room101 · 51-55, M
@plinkplonk Not really. Anyway, whatever rocks your boat.
Jibby · 56-60, C
Wow what another Trump post don't you people need more material. Nobody's listening he's there for seven more years get over it you lost you will lose again
SmartKat · 56-60, F
tRump is still hoping to stay out of trouble by distracting everybody.
Master1A · 70-79, M
@SmartKat lol.. just keep thinking that way. kinda funny.
CountScrofula · 41-45, M
I get that impression, which is pretty terrifying. Iraq was politically isolated, had no allies of major significance, was a complete economic ruin, and is flat as a pancake.

Iran is none of these things. But with the Saudi vs Iran stuff in Yemen and Syria as bad as ever and now Israel becoming its worst self I see them all wanting to drop their major rival. If that happens, it is going to be very, very ugly.
ButterFly2023 · 18-21, M
Between US foreign policy ( which really doesn't have a good record) and Trump, something has to go completely wrong. Better off to accept it and hope you're not in the middle.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
This one is not even about America. Israel just wants to be sure Trump has its back for what is about to happen. They will solve this Iran thing..
fazer1k · 56-60, M
The article makes perfect sense to me. Thank you for sharing.
Bernie sanders..... lolz
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@TheOneyouwerewarnedabout Read the article and tell me which part you disagree with.
RodionRomanovitch · 56-60, M
@Burnley123 You're joking aren't you ..... he struggles with anything more than cartoons.
Jibby · 56-60, C
[image deleted].. I'm ready

 
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