The us is pretty fvcked in terms of controlling the strait of Hormuz.

And oil market experts are saying we haven't even seen the impact yet. They are predicting the worst shortage ever.

And Iran is winning. They dictate the terms.

And escorts would not just be costly it is suicidal.

You would see. US Navy ships burning alongside the tankers.

The straits are so narrow they would even be targetable by standard field artillery on the mainland and with drones anti ship missiles and ballistic missiles it would be a turkey shoot.

The Iranians seem now to have come to safe passage arrangements with some countries, but those will be countries they don't regard as the USA's allies in this war.

Funny thing is it was safe to go through a month ago... Then Netanyahu whispered in finals ear...

Trump is now talking about seizing Kharg Island, about twenty miles off the Iranian coast, and right up in the NE corner of the Persian Gulf...

Has he looked at a map of the region?

An armed landing having first sailed through the Strait of Hormuz and along about a hundred miles of enemy coast, without heavy American casualties and serious damage to the oil terminal?

Then what? Iran can simply close the pipeline valves on the mainland, isolating the island.

She'd still have the problem of exporting her oil; hence serious problems to many countries not otherwise involved and not wanting to be involved.

I don't know if Iran has similar facilities in the South of the country, perhaps even outside of the Strait of Hormuz, so although more accessible to an invader, on the mainland so easier to defend.


Iran's regime is thoroughly nasty and dangerous but this illegal, unplanned attack by Israel and the USA, the latter's reasons and strategy unclear and inconsistent, will achieve far more harm than good.