Will Biden win the election.?

The website 538, run by Nate Silver, does a good job of aggregating all of the polls, both nationally and by state, and then modelling election results. Right now he is showing Biden with an 89% chance of winning. Four years ago on Election Day he showed Clinton with a 64% chance of success, and Trump with 36%.

One thing that bothers me about Silver's prognostication is that it does not take Trump's cheating into account. So yes, in a fair election, Biden will win 89% of the time, but what about in an election where Republicans are pulling out all the stops to prevent Democratic votes, to intimidate Democratic voters, to destroy Democratic votes, and to prevent Democratic votes from being counted. That has to increase the chances of Republican success.

Trump's political appointees have slowed mail delivery significantly. Major cites (that tend to vote Democratic) in swing states are seeing on-time delivery slowed to 40-55% instead of the 91% that it was a year ago during the same period. Even in my rural area, mail delivery is much later than it has been in over 30 years. This will directly impact mail-in vote delivery, as it is designed to do.

Voter suppression is the only way Republicans can win now and continue minority rule. And they are doing everything possible to maintain power, no matter what they destroy in the process.

Biden will definitely win a fair election. Trump has the advantage of a compliant Supreme Court willing to suppress votes and award the presidency to him. If that happens, it’s the end of the American experiment as we will have turned into a dictatorship.

Biden will win and then Trump will start his own media company.

I Think So Trump blew it with the coronavirus he should of handled it better when it first came

It is never though the case, in America or elsewhere, that one candidate is so great and therefore we vote for them. It is always the case that we pick the lesser of the two evils. I hope your prediction is accurate.

I’m certain Biden will. The only way Trump could win re-election is if he steals the election with the help of the Supreme Court because as of now he’s done for. Hopefully that doesn’t happen.

I’m not going to predict anything. People did that with Hillary, and they were [b]wrong[/b]. All we can do here is make sure we vote, and then see what happens.

I'd say so. Clinton was pretty disliked yet she barely lost. She was faltering in the polls right before the election too. Biden is a lot more likeable than her, is out performing her, and after four years of trump, many people don't want to have it extended to eight years.

People disagree with me, but I think Sanders could have done better than HC in 2016, but the Dems decided to go with what they thought was a sure thing. I think they're doing the same thing now, and that might turn out to be a mistake again. I can't believe that Biden was the best they could do.

I hope he will but I see too many pro trump signs. If there is one brave enough to put a sign up there are a dozen more hiding. If they are here in the suburbs they are rampant in poor and uneducated areas as well as quite a few wealthy people.

You’ve got more chance of getting through Covid alive if Biden wins.

Agreed with the last sentence. If sovranism loses in the U.S., after having lost much of its consent over the year pretty much everywhere, it'll hopefully be even more exposed for being the ridiculous movement it is.

Trump has won already

agreed

[youtube=https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8wapGhUGxAc]

I hope so and every vote counts. My vote has already been counted.

Looks like I was kind of right and kind of wrong too.

Lolz..

I think that thete are a lot if legitimate criticisms one can make of him?

Like embezzlement if billions of taxpayers funded aide and being the CCPs bitch.. ?

we'll see, when the votes are counted.

🔮

I think he will