When someone says they will 95% be able to pay you back in two days, how many days is that exactly?

@DeWayfarer if I were 50% able to pay back in 2 days, that would yield an answer of 1 day, yes? But somehow doesn't make sense to me. If I'm half sure I can pay in 2 days, realistically I should be less sure that I can pay even sooner (1 day). If I were 100% sure I can pay back in 2 days, less certainty should to me yield more time. As in, if I were 5% unable to pay back in 2 days:

2 days x 1.05 = 2.1 days

@greencompass I was yoking! 🫨