Could you live without technology?

@SomeMichGuy I guess that's my point. If we have a major Carrigton event like they are predicting and our electrical grid is not updated (thanks to the republicans.) We will be plunged back into a steam punk era for decades.

@Tastyfrzz Carrington?

Who is predicting this?

@SomeMichGuy The Carrington Event was the most powerful geomagnetic storm in recorded history, occurring in September 1859 when a massive solar flare and coronal mass ejection (CME) struck Earth. It caused spectacular auroras visible as far south as the Caribbean, shocked telegraph operators, and even set telegraph equipment on fire. A similar event today could cause widespread power outages, communication failures, and significant economic damage due to our reliance on modern technology.

What Happened
Solar Flare: On September 1, 1859, amateur astronomer Richard Carrington observed a bright flash of light on the Sun, the first recorded solar flare.

Coronal Mass Ejection (CME): This flare was followed by a CME, an expulsion of plasma and magnetic waves, which reached Earth about 17.5 hours later.

Geomagnetic Storm: The CME triggered the largest geomagnetic storm in recorded history, a G5-level event on the NOAA scale.

Effects in 1859
Auroras: Brilliant auroras were seen across the globe, even in tropical regions like the Caribbean and Central America.

Telegraph System Disruption: The powerful electrical currents caused telegraph machines to spark, shock operators, and even start fires.

Unplugged Telegraphs: Some telegraph lines continued to transmit signals even after their batteries were disconnected, demonstrating the immense power of the induced currents.

Impact Today
Technological Vulnerability: A Carrington-level event today could cripple our modern, interconnected world.

Power Grids: High-voltage electrical transformers could overheat, leading to widespread and long-term power outages.

Communications: Satellites, GPS, and global communication networks are vulnerable to damage and disruption.

Economic Consequences: The potential economic losses from such an event are estimated to be in the trillions of dollars.

Preparedness
While improvements have been made since the 1859 event, and systems are more resilient than in the past, a Carrington-level storm remains a significant threat.

Scientists at NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center monitor solar activity and can issue warnings, but space weather is difficult to predict with certainty.

@Tastyfrzz Yes, I read the same thing.

You claimed someone is predicting one.

Again, who is predicting them?

@SomeMichGuy [media=https://youtu.be/GoQXAw7ikp8?si=Fqhf2ffUI3AnlF98]

@Tastyfrzz Again, who is predicting this?

You made a claim which for you just have ZERO backup.

Why? Because these are hard-to-impossible to predict.

I'm out. lol

@SomeMichGuy it's not a matter of if, but when.

@Tastyfrzz Surely.

But your claim was wrong.

It might be that it happens twice in the next 10 yrs, or not until 500 more years havs passed.

Just state reality, don't make stuff up.

@SomeMichGuy i don't think i set a date anywhere. Just asked "what if?".

We might be hit by a meteor first. Who knows.

@Tastyfrzz

Nope.

You said

(Emphasis added.)

...but NO ONE is predicting it.

@SomeMichGuy

Found this:

Carrington-style coronal mass ejection (CME) event is a rare but statistically certain occurrence, with estimates for its frequency varying widely among researchers. A 2012 study, which is often cited, estimated a 12% chance of a Carrington-level geomagnetic storm occurring in the next decade.
However, the exact rate is difficult to determine, and recent analyses incorporating historical data from ice cores and tree rings suggest that such major solar events might occur on average about once every 500 years.
Different estimates for Carrington-level events
12% chance in a decade: A frequently cited 2012 study by physicist Pete Riley used historical data to estimate a roughly 12% probability of a Carrington-level event occurring over the next 10 years. This study concluded that these events are not extraordinary flukes but rather on the extreme end of a normal range.
5–23% chance in a century: A 2019 study placed the likelihood of a Carrington-like storm hitting Earth over the next century between 5% and 23%. This estimate is based on a 95% confidence interval for a 10-year probability of 0.46% to 1.88%.
Once every 500 years: Analysis of isotope data from ice cores points to two very large solar storms in the years 774 and 993 A.D.. This historical evidence suggests that major events of similar intensity to or greater than the Carrington event happen roughly once every 500 years.
Rare, but not predictable: Other experts caution against overconfidence in specific numbers, noting that it is difficult to predict rare events from a single star like our sun. The odds are a "large range of uncertainty," and more research is needed.

@Tastyfrzz So not actually a prediction and not one you had when you wrote the reply.

Bye.