Asking
Only logged in members can reply and interact with the post.
Join SimilarWorlds for FREE »

Could you live without technology?

We've kind of painted ourselves into a corner with cell phones. It's so much easier paying bills, doing banking, purchasing stuff, accessing records, scheduling, and communicating now. What if it suddenly went away? Do you have checks, envelopes. Or even know how much you have in your bank accounts? Do you have phone numbers and addresses written down anywhere anymore? Do stores nearby even carry stuff?
How would you look up a word or its spelling?
Do you have access to an encyclopedia, a cookbook, or a library? Do you have a functional typewriter, film camera, flashlight, or radio?
Scary isn’t it?
Top | New | Old
This comment is hidden. Show Comment
Where do you draw the line?

Semiconductors are everywhere.
@Tastyfrzz

Nope.

You said

If we have a major Carrigton[sic] event like they are predicting
(Emphasis added.)

...but NO ONE is predicting it.
Tastyfrzz · 61-69, M
@SomeMichGuy

Found this:

Carrington-style coronal mass ejection (CME) event is a rare but statistically certain occurrence, with estimates for its frequency varying widely among researchers. A 2012 study, which is often cited, estimated a 12% chance of a Carrington-level geomagnetic storm occurring in the next decade.
However, the exact rate is difficult to determine, and recent analyses incorporating historical data from ice cores and tree rings suggest that such major solar events might occur on average about once every 500 years.
Different estimates for Carrington-level events
12% chance in a decade: A frequently cited 2012 study by physicist Pete Riley used historical data to estimate a roughly 12% probability of a Carrington-level event occurring over the next 10 years. This study concluded that these events are not extraordinary flukes but rather on the extreme end of a normal range.
5–23% chance in a century: A 2019 study placed the likelihood of a Carrington-like storm hitting Earth over the next century between 5% and 23%. This estimate is based on a 95% confidence interval for a 10-year probability of 0.46% to 1.88%.
Once every 500 years: Analysis of isotope data from ice cores points to two very large solar storms in the years 774 and 993 A.D.. This historical evidence suggests that major events of similar intensity to or greater than the Carrington event happen roughly once every 500 years.
Rare, but not predictable: Other experts caution against overconfidence in specific numbers, noting that it is difficult to predict rare events from a single star like our sun. The odds are a "large range of uncertainty," and more research is needed.
@Tastyfrzz So not actually a prediction and not one you had when you wrote the reply.

Bye.

 
Post Comment