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Euro Final preview, from and England fan. [I Love Real Football]

I think England has about a 40-45% chance of winning. In Rome, Italy would be slightly heavier favourites but I think this will be close.

Italy has been the best team in the tournament and if they win, they will be well-deserving champions. It doesn't look like a great team on paper compared with past Italian sides. France, Germany and England at least; all have rosters of bigger name players in club football. Mancini's Italy team is an outstanding collective though. They are the only major international team to play with the cohesion of an elite club side. With less time to train the players, how do you coach an organised high press, fluid position rotation and fast passing with ball retention? It shouldn't be possible but Roberto Mancini has found a way. They play like Guardiola's Man City team or like Napoli did under Maurizio Sarri: it's beautiful to watch and a nightmare to play against.

The England team is very different. It's more of a reactive, counterattacking side; certainly in big games. Though we did show against Ukraine and Denmark that we can attack and dominate games when we have to. I would expect Southgate to go more defensive in this game, as he did against Germany. Whereas Mancini is the outstanding coach, Southgate has proven very adept (so far) in game-by-game tactics. In the early rounds, #SouthgateOut trended on Twitter whenever his teamsheets landed. Now the BBC fan poll shows that the England team most people want for the final is exactly the same as the side that Southgate himself actually picked for the last game! #Vindicated. How refreshing it is to have a coach who selected a team based on a plan, rather than just putting the biggest names on the pitch and hoping it works out. Yes; Capello, Hodgson, Eriksson and McClaren, that is aimed at you.

Having said this, Italy is a more complete and more cohesive outfit. England is a good team but Italy is (at this moment) a great one. However, if the England team loses the final, they still have had a good tournament and deserve to be genuinely considered a world power in the international game as well as the club one. Whatever most England fans think, the historic record says that this has not usually been the case. It's also a young team so I would expect this group of players to stay together and remain major tournament contenders for the next five or so years. That doesn't mean we will win a trophy but it does mean we have a chance.

Italy, by contrast, is at the absolute peak of its cycle. Most of their players are in their late twenties or older and now is absolutely the best time for them in terms of form. It's their pinnacle and a damn high pinnacle. If England loses, there is no disgrace and it's been a great tournament.

Enjoy the game.

Burnley123 馃憤
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SammyJo51-55, F
Hmmmmmm....

My thoughts swing one way and then the next....but I have put England to win on the lil group thing we have going, but only after drawing at full time....

However, there's one thing that people haven't mentioned and that is the pressure of expectation; We had a few blips in the last game where, I think, the sense of occasion and achievement really got to some of the players...and I think we might just see a fair bit of that this game too....

Italy came into the championships, remember, as underdogs...somehow slipping under the radar and they have a lot to prove....and don't forget, they're always there or there abouts so that mentality is all part of it....

I just hope that it's a good game. Both deserve to win it..

鈽猴笍

SJD x
Burnley12341-45, M
@SammyJo Both teams have redemption stories and something to prove. Italy failed to qualify for the last World Cup and Mancini was seen as no longer a top European coach.

England, [i]always[/i] has something to prove because our record is historically so bad. It is pressure but most of our players have played in big European finals for their clubs and I think that helps.

Both teams have pressure. Maybe Italy is under more pressure in one sense because they are an older team and will not likely get another chance with this generation.

it will be a close game decided on key moments IMO.
SammyJo51-55, F
@Burnley123 Yeah, I get that...and I've heard that the press over that side of the pond can be very vicious........

The older team thing doesn't really hold much stock what with the World Cup just around the corner, but I know what you mean; we have a younger team....

鈽猴笍
Burnley12341-45, M
@SammyJo Our press is vicious enough LOL. I don't think either team will be heavily criticised, unless one gets absolutely hammered. Both have already exceeded expectations.
SammyJo51-55, F
@Burnley123 ...oh, yes, the English press is [i]beyond[/i] vicious! There are a lot of armchair critics around, unlike ourselves, that expect that 'Roy of The Rovers' fairytale...or [i]worse still[/i], think that Gareth should throw the No 9 shirt to them and they'll score for us.....and that their only exercise regime comes from pie eating...but I digress...

Then there's other critics, more aligned with our way of thinking, that sees games week in week out and knows what we're talking about...and make valid comments....

I will say that, as an Owl, the...ahem...'standard' of football hasn't been as top notch of late so I haven't seen the same quality matches as some...

SJD x
Burnley12341-45, M
@SammyJo As a Burnley fan, I have little idea what a quality football match is. 馃ぃ

Joking aside, I do know the game as do you.