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Euro Final preview, from and England fan. [I Love Real Football]

I think England has about a 40-45% chance of winning. In Rome, Italy would be slightly heavier favourites but I think this will be close.

Italy has been the best team in the tournament and if they win, they will be well-deserving champions. It doesn't look like a great team on paper compared with past Italian sides. France, Germany and England at least; all have rosters of bigger name players in club football. Mancini's Italy team is an outstanding collective though. They are the only major international team to play with the cohesion of an elite club side. With less time to train the players, how do you coach an organised high press, fluid position rotation and fast passing with ball retention? It shouldn't be possible but Roberto Mancini has found a way. They play like Guardiola's Man City team or like Napoli did under Maurizio Sarri: it's beautiful to watch and a nightmare to play against.

The England team is very different. It's more of a reactive, counterattacking side; certainly in big games. Though we did show against Ukraine and Denmark that we can attack and dominate games when we have to. I would expect Southgate to go more defensive in this game, as he did against Germany. Whereas Mancini is the outstanding coach, Southgate has proven very adept (so far) in game-by-game tactics. In the early rounds, #SouthgateOut trended on Twitter whenever his teamsheets landed. Now the BBC fan poll shows that the England team most people want for the final is exactly the same as the side that Southgate himself actually picked for the last game! #Vindicated. How refreshing it is to have a coach who selected a team based on a plan, rather than just putting the biggest names on the pitch and hoping it works out. Yes; Capello, Hodgson, Eriksson and McClaren, that is aimed at you.

Having said this, Italy is a more complete and more cohesive outfit. England is a good team but Italy is (at this moment) a great one. However, if the England team loses the final, they still have had a good tournament and deserve to be genuinely considered a world power in the international game as well as the club one. Whatever most England fans think, the historic record says that this has not usually been the case. It's also a young team so I would expect this group of players to stay together and remain major tournament contenders for the next five or so years. That doesn't mean we will win a trophy but it does mean we have a chance.

Italy, by contrast, is at the absolute peak of its cycle. Most of their players are in their late twenties or older and now is absolutely the best time for them in terms of form. It's their pinnacle and a damn high pinnacle. If England loses, there is no disgrace and it's been a great tournament.

Enjoy the game.

Burnley123 👍
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Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
I have to say i think England are probably favourites to win.

Don't think i've EVER been able to say that about an England team in my lifetime !

I think Southgate is an excellent coach and has taken a group of 'who's?' and made them into a consistent, winning team !
When have we EVER had THAT ?

Right now i think Italy are actually contemplating a loss. Something they've not had to consider in a long time !
Mancini has done well to hold a group of 'flatterers to deceive' together to get to this point, but for all the no doubt usual, unflattering aspects of the Italian game (count the number of dives and attempts to get players booked etc) I think Southgate and those who play will have taken that into account and will hopefully play their own game and go on to win.
Gangstress · 41-45, F
@Picklebobble2 Well said that Pickle
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
@Gangstress One of the good/bad things about The Premier League is that it creates 'heroes' known worldwide.
Hero goalscorers; hero Goalkeepers; hero free-kick specialists...etc.

That means when it comes to 'grafters', guys who are prepared to run one end of the pitch to the other for 94 minutes, they get ignored !

And we have a whole team of them !

My ONLY worry is if it should go to extra-time and the horribly inevitable possibility of a penalty shootout, whether that may affect tired legs; minds and psyche.

But then, you have to roll the dice at some point if you want to win !
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@Picklebobble2 I think that is harsh on Italy. I've watched their games and they are a proper team. Yes, they had a bad day against Spain but then in other matches (Turkey and Switzerland) they just blew the opposition away. When we struggling against Scotland and the Czechs, they were eating teams alive.

It will be close and decided by small moments but please don't underestimate this Italian side.

Yes, it's the best England team in my lifetime. I do think we are genuinely stronger than at Italia 90 or Euro 96. God knows the so-called 'golden generation' of Gerard, Beckham and Rooney was never as good as this.

It's a measure of how badly we have underachieved in international football that this is only our second ever final. A gentleman in his late fifties, such as yourself, probably can't remember the last one.
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
@Burnley123 Can't fear your opponents. No matter WHO they are !
And if we were facing Germany; France or.......Holland, we'd be saying the exact same thing !

Always thinking they're more skilled than we are. Always thinking their players are fitter; faster; better etc.

We didn't get here by the skin of our teeth. Or because of somebody else's misfortune. We earned it because we were good enough !

Let's go that final step and prove it to ourselves.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@Picklebobble2 Its respect, not fear. LOL

I do think we deserve to be in the final on merit. The Danes do have very legitimate grievances for the manner of the goal which put them out. They are right to feel hard done by. However, even they admit that we dominated the general play in that game. It is a good England team and a good Italian team. It will be a tough game for both sides.
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
@Burnley123 Respect this side of the pitch is fine.
Don't want or need it on the one their playing on.

Go out. Dominate the game. Get the goals. Win !
Nyloncapes · 61-69, M
@Burnley123 we deserve to be there we have beat who ever put in front of us, not like Germany, France, Spain and the rest , in football like any sport you need bit of luck and Danes might feel hard done by , but decisions go for you and against you