Europe is forced to decuple from USA which is good and good for Trump and bad for USA. The largest bilateral goods deficits recorded in August 2026 were with Mexico ($27.7 billion), Vietnam ($24.0 billion), Taiwan ($18.3 billion), and China ($16.4 billion).Because net imports subtract from Gross Domestic Product calculations, economists at Goldman Sachs subsequently shaved their third-quarter 2026 annualized GDP growth estimate down to 3.1% from 3.4%.Because the U.S. relies heavily on chip manufacturing hubs like Taiwan, this ongoing tech infrastructure build-out will continue to push capital goods imports higher, keeping the trade deficit deep in the red.Parallel projections from the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) show that federal policy changes enacted through late 2026 are expected to add $0.9 trillion to federal budget deficits over the coming decade. Historically, massive domestic fiscal expansion and high budget deficits tend to correlate with strong consumer spending on foreign goods, further feeding into the structural trade deficit, For the full year of 2027, the U.S. is on track to post an annual trade deficit of approximately $1.24 trillion.


Enjoy Trump ruins your economy 😂

If the 10-year Treasury yield surges to 6.65% by December 2027, the cost of borrowing for everyday consumers and corporations will explode to multi-decade highs.
Because the 10-year Treasury yield is the benchmark "risk-free rate" used by banks to price almost all debt, an increase in this yield pushes all other borrowing rates up automatically.
Here is exactly how a 6.65% benchmark yield will translate into real-world borrowing costs by late 2027:

1. Consumer Impact: Mortgages, Auto Loans, and Credit Cards

Lenders add a "risk premium" spread on top of the 10-year Treasury rate to protect themselves against borrower defaults.
• 30-Year Fixed Mortgages will hit 8.5% to 9.0%: Historically, the spread between the 10-year Treasury and a 30-year mortgage averages about 2.0% to 2.5%. If the benchmark reaches 6.65%, average mortgage rates will spike past 8.5%. On a $400,000 home loan, this increases the monthly payment by roughly $700 per month compared to a 6% mortgage rate, pricing millions of families completely out of the housing market.
• Auto Loans will climb past 10% to 12%: New car loan rates will shift closer to 10% for prime buyers and much higher for subprime borrowers, making vehicle financing significantly more expensive.
• Credit Card APRs will push toward 25%: Because variable credit card rates are tied to the Fed’s prime rate, persistent deficit pressures keeping yields high will trap consumer credit APRs at record-breaking, high-interest levels.

2. Corporate Impact: The High-Yield and Debt "Refinancing Cliff"

American companies do not borrow at government rates; they pay a premium depending on their financial health.
• Investment-Grade Corporate Bonds will rise to 7.5% - 8.0%: Large, stable companies (like Apple or Microsoft) that could easily borrow at 3% or 4% a few years ago will have to pay close to 8% to issue new corporate debt.
• Junk Bonds (High-Yield) will skyrocket to 10% - 12%: Riskier companies with lower credit ratings will see their borrowing costs surge into the double digits.
• The Refinancing Wall: Hundreds of billions of dollars in cheap corporate debt issued during the low-interest-rate era is scheduled to mature in 2027. Companies will be forced to refinance this debt at double or triple their previous interest rates, directly wiping out corporate profit margins and triggering a wave of corporate bankruptcies and layoffs.

3. Government Impact: The Compounding Debt Spiral

The U.S. government is the largest borrower of all. If the market forces the Treasury to issue new bonds at a 6.65% yield:
• Interest outlays will consume the budget: The U.S. will spend more on net interest payments to bondholders than on its entire national defense budget.
• Crowding Out: To pay this massive interest bill, the government will have to issue even more bonds, or severely cut back on federal spending and infrastructure projects, slowing down broader economic growth.
For over a decade, investors operated under the mindset of TINA ("There Is No Alternative" to stocks) because bond yields were near zero.
• At a 6.65% guaranteed yield, government bonds offer an incredibly attractive, risk-free return.

What’s the alternative?
AOC KAMALA with the Kenyan the the basement again?

Yeah nah. Trump

Nobody believes Trump's policies are good for America or Europe. The real debate should be how we change the system so people never become this nihilistic again.

Let's start with a carryover from the previous thread.

@DanielsASJ says Is that why tRump promised us lower grocery & gas prices in 2024??

Huh?? Remember tRump's inauguration promise "no new wars"???

tRump's Iran war is driving prices up Up UP!! Meanwhile, His Iran war is driving republican popularity down Down DOWN!! tRump's conduct of the Iran war only makes sense if his goal is to impoverish American consumers and weaken his own party.

The other explanation for tRump's conduct, of course, is that he's both incompetent and unwilling to accept advice from experts. His habit of laying blame elsewhere and his six months of falsely promising the war is "almost over" rather suggests incompetence.

The other thing what upset me that Tech CEO'S always have to be involved in Politics, especially sitting along with other leaders...

CEO'S from Google. Meta. Apple. Chat GTP. Invidia. Tesla

It's kind of concerning. They're not our leaders