Just How Close Was the 2024 Presidential Election?

Electoral Votes *
312 Trump
226 Harris
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*270 needed to win

Popular Vote
77,302,580 Trump
75,017,613 Harris

% of the Popular Vote
49.8% Trump
48.3% Harris

Pennsylvania
3,543,308 ... 50.37% Trump
3,423,042 ... 48.66% Harris
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120,266 - a flip of 60,134 votes gives Harris the state's 19 electoral votes

Michigan
2,816,636 ... 49.73% Trump
2,736,533 ... 48.31% Harris
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70,103 - a flip of 25,052 votes gives Harris the state's 15 electoral votes

Wisconsin
1,697,626 ... 49.60% Trump
1,668,229 ... 48.74% Harris
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29,387 - a flip of 14,699 votes gives Harris the state's 10 electoral votes

A flip of 99,885 votes in the above three states as noted would have given Harris 44 more electoral votes - and the presidency, 270-268.

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luckranger71 · 51-55, M Best Comment

Despite the popular narrative, an argument can be made that Harris made this race closer than it should have been. Inflation (whether one attributes it to the pandemic or to the Biden administration) had been an issue for most of the previous 4 years. Historically incumbent administrations lose with high inflation, even more so than unemployment.

The fact that it was this close and she had been running only since July against a guy that survived an assassination attempt demonstrates how limited Trump’s popularity is. Institutions (like the universities cratering to Trump) should be emboldened rather than accommodating with this administration.

jackjjackson · M

Sure. Delude yourself. @luckranger71