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World population crisis

The UN Population Division report of 2022 projects world population to continue growing after 2050, although at a steadily decreasing rate, to peak at 10.4 billion in 2086, and then to start a slow decline to about 10.3 billion in 2100 with a growth rate at that time of -0.1%.

This estinmate is dropping almost every year. If the worlds population growth goes into reverse

How will we cope with a shrinking workforce, an aging population, and potential economic challenges, but also potentially lower resource consumption and environmental impact

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Japan and South Korea are on the leading edge with some of the lowest birth rates in the world. They also discourage immigration. So how they deal with the coming demographic changes will be interesting.
Captain · 61-69, M
@LeopoldBloom And of course China with the era of the one child rule, it really is an excellent point you make
KiwiBird · 36-40, F
@Captain China's one child policy ceased in 2015. Two child policy 2016-2021. Currently no limit.
Captain · 61-69, M
@KiwiBird I know and I think at first that didnt change behaviour much - has birth rate picked up again ?
Captain · 61-69, M
@KiwiBird Hi Just looked it up (keep forgettng how easy that is). THis is what AI said :-

China's birth rate, which hit a record low of 6.39 births per 1,000 people in 2023, saw a slight increase to 6.77 in 2024, but the death rate remained higher, leading to a negative natural population growth rate.
Here's a more detailed breakdown:
2024 Birth Rate: 6.77 births per 1,000 people.
2023 Birth Rate: 6.39 births per 1,000 people.
2024 Births: 9.54 million.
2023 Births: 9.02 million.
2024 Deaths: 10.93 million.
2024 Mortality Rate: 7.76 per thousand.
2024 Natural Population Growth Rate: Negative, at 0.99 per thousand.

So meybe the effect of the 1 child rule is just starting to wear off...
@Captain China is urbanizing rapidly, so pretty soon they will be where Japan and South Korea are with regard to birthrates.
Captain · 61-69, M
@LeopoldBloom China was a subject I specifcally checks and they are showing slight increase in the last year but way below 2 births per female - and remember that during the 1 child days a lot of females were misisn gform the records (assumed aborted), In a recession depression environment many more people will probablly just opt not to have children.