21% interest rates? You can only get this one place on earth.
Photo above - The Russian central bank recently raised interest rates to 21%. The ruble has lost half it's value since 2022.
Wow . . . and I thought WE had it bad when Fed Chairman Jerome Powell raised US interest rates to 5.5%. Everyone thought the world was going to end. Or at least result in an endless buffet of recession and job losses.
So I was astonished to read this morning (link below) that Russia’s central bank has hiked IT’S interest rates to (drumroll). . . 21%. WTH !!!!
So, is Russia going to have a recession? Wait . . . my bad. They’re already in one. Russia’s GDP (Gross domestic product) fell 11% last year. Because . . . war.
Did America ever try to pull a stunt like this – raise Fed rates to the stratosphere as a strategy to finance government shenanigans? Apparently not in our lifetimes (past 30 years). The highest it got prior to Jerome Powell’s mad scientist experiment was 5.25% in 2006. Which immediately triggered the housing crisis, and a recession. In the space of a year Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke realized that he had made a massive mistake, and – literally – dropped the rate back to zero. Because . . . recession.
So, Russia has the worst of both worlds. Recession AND unbelievably high interest rates. How are they doing on inflation? Do you want the official data from Putin, or a real-world assessment? It’s 9% (annualized) at the moment, according to Russian apparatchniks who are paid big rubles to keep track of this stuff. Say, how much IS a ruble worth, anyway? Um, about a penny. That’s half of what it was 2 years ago. So . . . 100% inflation over 2 years? 50% per year, approximately? Someone with a math degree please help me out here.
Anyway, I don’t think I want to accept the official statistics of bureaucrats who drove their currency below a penny.
Long story short, I’m not going to buy 21% bonds issued by the Kremlin, if even those commissars who are being paid in penny-ante rubles tell me my investment will be government insured. I’m not sure who WOULD go for this. China? North Korea? Iran? Anyone who has a vested interest in Putin’s survival, I guess. Not me.
I’m just sayin’ . . .
Russia’s central bank raises key rate to 21% to rein in higher-than-forecast inflation – NBC New York