If Trump loses the election, do you think the Republican Party might split up?
22-25, M
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I'm not a republican, I'm a conservative though.
Republicans won't split up. Neo-Cons already left the party, and joijed the Democrats. They will try to make a bid for taking party leadership again, but will be as successful as a fiscal conservative Democrat from 30 years ago making a bid to retake the Democrats- they are no longer a part of that.
The republicans returned back to their populist roots (that's what Abraham Lincoln was). Many know now they have a winning forumla, and shifted the base of society towards them (blue collar workers and unions). The bulk of the Republicans will cater to this for the next two generations at least, just like how Democrats pretended to be pro Union and pro-working man for two generations. They are more evenly split right now, but momentum is clearly on the republican side in this flip.
You are more likely to see the Democrats split in a much longer term as they settle down in core regional metropolitan areas and stop trying to be a nation wide party. When Trump was first elected the Democrats lost all their state level seats in Kansas (or maybe Oklahoma, fuzzy memory). They didn't get a office holder until the mid term elections. I think you will increasingly see this trend open up over the next few decades where Democrats simply put will not get elected in some states and will cease to be there. You'll just have more liberal republicans and more robust third parties in these states.
These regional democratic strongholds might very well begin to differ in outlook, but I think they will all pretend to be oke big democratic party in order to maintain a national coalition in congress.
Republicans won't split up. Neo-Cons already left the party, and joijed the Democrats. They will try to make a bid for taking party leadership again, but will be as successful as a fiscal conservative Democrat from 30 years ago making a bid to retake the Democrats- they are no longer a part of that.
The republicans returned back to their populist roots (that's what Abraham Lincoln was). Many know now they have a winning forumla, and shifted the base of society towards them (blue collar workers and unions). The bulk of the Republicans will cater to this for the next two generations at least, just like how Democrats pretended to be pro Union and pro-working man for two generations. They are more evenly split right now, but momentum is clearly on the republican side in this flip.
You are more likely to see the Democrats split in a much longer term as they settle down in core regional metropolitan areas and stop trying to be a nation wide party. When Trump was first elected the Democrats lost all their state level seats in Kansas (or maybe Oklahoma, fuzzy memory). They didn't get a office holder until the mid term elections. I think you will increasingly see this trend open up over the next few decades where Democrats simply put will not get elected in some states and will cease to be there. You'll just have more liberal republicans and more robust third parties in these states.
These regional democratic strongholds might very well begin to differ in outlook, but I think they will all pretend to be oke big democratic party in order to maintain a national coalition in congress.
