Latest Battleground State Polls: Harris Leading Trump in All Three "Blue Wall" States, WI 8, PA 4, MI 3, As Well as in GA, NC and NV

A Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll found Harris has a 2-point average edge over Trump when it comes to registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. She is ahead by 1 point, a statistical tie, when the poll is restricted to likely voters in these states.

The lead was strongest in Wisconsin, where she edged out Trump by 8 points among registered voters, followed by Nevada and Pennsylvania, where she led by 4 points in each, pollsters said. The two were deadlocked in Arizona with 48 percent each, while Harris led by 2 points in Georgia and North Carolina each, and in Michigan by 3 points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4854831-harris-leading-trump-battleground-states-poll/

Harris Lead:
+8 Wisconsin
+4 Pennsylvania
+4 Nevada
+3 Michigan
+2 Georgia
+2 North Carolina
+0 Arizona

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samueltyler2 · 80-89, M

These polls are meaningless. The only poll that means anything is the first Tuesday of November.

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@samueltyler2

Polls are not meaningless.

They help campaigns decide where to spend resources, where to send surrogates, where the candidates should give speeches, etc.

samueltyler2 · 80-89, M

@beckyromero we know how polls are done and their major shortcomings. Look at the last few elections, the polls versus results of the elections.

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@samueltyler2

Look at the last few elections, the polls versus results of the elections.

The final RealClearPolitics.com averages of polls in 2020 (10/25 - 11/2) had Joe Biden up by 7.2 points.

He defeated Trump in the popular vote by 4.5 points.

The final RealClearPolitics.com averages of polls in 2016 (11/1 - 11/1) had Hillary Clinton up by 3.2 points.

Hillary won the popular vote by 2.1 points.

The final RealClearPolitics.com averages of polls in 2012 (10/31 - 11/5) had Barack Obama up by 0.7 points.

Obama defeated Mitt Romney in the popular vote by 3.9 points.

The final RealClearPolitics.com averages of polls in 2008 (10/29 - 11/3) had Barack Obama up by 7.6 points.

Obama defeated John McCain in the popular vote by 7.3 points.

All these differences are well within the margin of error. and the averages picked the correct popular vote winner in all four of the last four presidential elections.

samueltyler2 · 80-89, M

@beckyromero the key to your comment is the margin of error! I repeat, the only poll of importance is the first Tuesday on November, and, unfortunately, the popular vote is not what counts!