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Predictions for Election 2024

1. Voter turnout way down on 2020, and probably lower than at any time since WW2.

2. Trump’s support will remain relatively stable, although probably less than in 2020.

3. Biden’s support will collapse, mainly due to his stance on Israel, with Democrat voters turning more to progressive third-party choices.

4. Independent turnout will also be way down.

5. Biden will probably still win the popular vote, but the EC will ensure Trump wins by a landslide.

I hope I’m wrong.

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Lila15 · 22-25, F

Voter turnout will be way up among Democrats due to the abortion issue.

Trump will lose support due to convictions and obvious mental deterioration.

The Gaza war will be over and progressive voters will hold their noses and vote for Biden because they know Trump will be worse.

Biden will win the popular vote and electoral college. Trump supporters will commit stochastic violence.

Docdon23 · M

@Lila15 I sure hope you are right--but I doubt he will be convicted before the election, since the Supreme Court is his...and I am not sure the abortion turn-out will be as great as the he-is-too-old mantra people...

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@Docdon23 the abortion issue is dead. The only thing left is the unintelligible screeching.

Docdon23 · M

@MasterLee sadly I agree...we may have the two worst candidates ever...I do think turn-out will be low due to that...

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@Docdon23 I disagree but whatever.

independentone · M

@Docdon23 If it's between Biden and Trump, then I will most likely just not vote in this one. I already threw away my primary ballot and won't be participating on Super Tuesday.

SW-User

@independentone And that's why Trump will win; exactly as I predict.

independentone · M

@SW-User You are probably right, and I just don't car any more. If those two are the best the country can come up with, the US deserves to fail.

Lila15 · 22-25, F

@MasterLee Except every election since Dobbs where abortion was a factor has gone to the pro-choice side. Just because you don't care doesn't mean no one else does. The election will be a referendum on abortion.

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@Lila15 or more likely a referendum on biden

Lila15 · 22-25, F

@MasterLee Well, obviously. Every election for a second term is a referendum on the incumbent. Just as 2020 was a referendum on Trump.

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@Lila15 the left commits violence and atrocities. Not the right.

independentone · M

@MasterLee Yeah, Jan 6 was dems and not brain damaged maga people 🤦‍♂️

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@independentone yes antifa and blm

independentone · M

@MasterLee Antifa and blm must have gone to a lot of trouble to gain 50 lbs each and pull half the teeth in their mouth. Sorry dude, I saw the pictures and video, those fat yahoos with poor dental work are pure maga republicans.

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@independentone could be mi5 with those teeth

SW-User

@Lila15 I'd like to believe you.

Lila15 · 22-25, F

@MasterLee Like what? The George Floyd protests? Most of the violence was from right wing gangs and the police themselves.

Right wing violence far exceeds left wing.

Lila15 · 22-25, F

@SW-User In the primaries we've had so far, Biden has overperformed polls and Trump has underperformed. Some of this is due to Democratic voters ratfucking Trump by voting for Haley, but that's only in states with open primaries.

Also, Trump's mental deterioration is getting worse and could be too obvious to ignore by November. He still has a core of fanatical supporters, but even going by rally attendance, people are getting tired of him.

MasterLee · 56-60, M

@Lila15 LOL LOL LOL

Lila15 · 22-25, F

@MasterLee How do you explain the fact that every election where abortion was a factor has been a victory for the pro-choice side, even in conservative states like Kansas and Ohio? The Supreme Court screwed up big time. They should have left Roe v. Wade alone. Now the Republicans will pay for it.