Predictions for Election 2024

1. Voter turnout way down on 2020, and probably lower than at any time since WW2.

2. Trump’s support will remain relatively stable, although probably less than in 2020.

3. Biden’s support will collapse, mainly due to his stance on Israel, with Democrat voters turning more to progressive third-party choices.

4. Independent turnout will also be way down.

5. Biden will probably still win the popular vote, but the EC will ensure Trump wins by a landslide.

I hope I’m wrong.

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helenS · 36-40, F

That's one of the more plausible scenarios, but only one of them.
Don't know how many Democratic voters are "friends of the Palestinian people" – probably a lot.

ViciDraco · 36-40, M

@helenS is not that they are friends of the Palestinians than that they are anti-genocidal. The thing is that there are strong pro-palestine communities in swing states like Michigan that could make all the difference. It's not going to be like move the embassy to Jerusalem Trump is going to be any better on the topic, but just getting people to not vote greatly favors Republicans in most cases.