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windinhishair · 61-69, M
The election is a year away. We will see what the landscape looks like in ten months or so and will have a much better idea then of who is likely to win. If you go back and look at polling and reports from 2011, Obama was predicted to lose to whoever the Republican nominee was going to be in 2012, and yet by the time the election came around in 2012, he beat Romney handily.