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What are the chances of that Chinese rocket landing on Mar-A-Lago ?

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Thinkerbell · 41-45, F
Earth has a surface area of about 200 million square miles, so the chances of falling within one square mile surrounding Mar-a-Lago is about 1 in 200 million.

Actually, the probability is somewhat higher than that, since I don't think the Chinese rocket ever gets near the Earth's poles.