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When to believe conspiracy theory?

It's a tough one because rich and powerful people do act to seve their own interests, often in covert ways. However, that doesn't mean that any BS read from a dodgy website happens to be true. You need concrete proof to say something definite. To see something as even credible, I think there are three questions to consider before saying it might be true:

1) Would rich and powerful people benefit? (not just the one's I don't like)
2) Does it have a credible narrative.
3) Would it be worth the risk of exposure.

For example I never believed the 9-11 truther stuff because of number 3. All three are a yes to Iraq WMD. Pizzagate fails on every count, as does Cultural Marxism.
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With the 9-11 truther one that is a bit of a tough one because there was some legitimate stuff in there and some complete bullshit. Even the former head of the 9-11 commission stated they were deliberately mislead and obstructed (which makes sense because if the motives behind it came out the entire pretext for the Iraq war falls apart immediately) and there were deliberate efforts to defraud first responders out of healthcare later.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@PicturesOfABetterTomorrow I think it's fair to say that the US secret services fucked up and it's entirely probable that there was a lot of back covering.

However, the conspiracy that they orchestrated it or let that happen deliberately? Nah.

I'm with Chomsky on this. The likelihood of it being exposed would have been very high and the consequence enormous. You would have needed to involve at least a several dozen people and not have one person blow the whistle after 3,000 Americans were killed.

Watergate brought down a government and this would have been a hundred Watergates.

So no, can't agree.
@Burnley123 True. It was alot easier obstruct anyone who was looking into the foreign backers of it and then using forget Italian intelligence documents to invent a link between Al Qaeda especially when we know Bush gave specific instructions to the Pentagon to find a link or invent one.

That you only have to string people along long enough till you actually put boots on the ground. Even the most checked out American could probably work out that Riyadh and Baghdad are not in the same country. Plus the US has a history of such things going all the way back to the Spanish American War.
@Burnley123 It was more about not letting a tragedy go to waste.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@PicturesOfABetterTomorrow That there were attempts to distance the Saudi's I have no problem believing. They are an allied country, after all. Also, the link with Al Queda was concocted. FYI, that was never used on a UK audience because even the shysters in the Blair government thought it was too much. I have already said that the WMD conspiracy passes my test.

What I don't and never will believe is the idea that the US government was involved in 9/11 or let it happen. That is a different thing.
Burnley123 · 41-45, M
@PicturesOfABetterTomorrow [quote]It was more about not letting a tragedy go to waste.[/quote]

Look man, I AGREE WITH THAT. I went on demos against that freakin war. The 9/11 truther thing is about whether the yanks blew up their own towers. Loads of people believed that at the time and tbh a load of them was on the left. Some of them still do but if it's not you then there is no need to argue.
@Burnley123 I agree with you. Part of the issue is there was an effort to lump everyone who questioned anything from the point that the towers came down in the same camp as the "Loose Change" crowd. Much like with Ed Snowden they originally tried to paint him the same as the guy who claimed to have worked with aliens in area 51.

Definitely different but related issues.