Do you think the polls will accurately reflect the election?

Most polls have Clinton leading, FiveThirtyEight gives Clinton a 78.9 chance of winning via their simulations of the election (I know some polls say Trump will win, but none that are respectable besides maybe Rasmussen). Do you think the election will be vastly different from the polls? Why do you think so? Please no anecdotal evidence such as "everyone I know is voting for candidate X".

This page is a permanent link to the reply below and its nested replies. See all post replies »

Muthafukajones · 46-50, M

Aren't their certain states that accurately predict the future president every time? I believe OHIO.. is one such state... it would interesting to see what the polls from such states are saying.

paresseux · 26-30, M

Yeah the election really depends on a handful of states. In Oklahoma Hillary is likely to get almost no electoral votes and in California Trump is likely to get almost none. Its the states that could go either way, in the electoral and the popular vote, that matter.