I Like Politics

[b]Oddschecker.com Next Labour leader[/b]

[b]Kier Starmer 7-2[/b]
[b]Angela Rayner 7-1[/b]
[b]Rebecca Long-Bailey 4-1[/b]
[b]Jess Philips 8-1[/b]

[b]Next Liberal Democrat leader[/b]

[b]Ed Davey. Evens[/b]
[b]Layla Moran 7-4[/b]
[b]Wera Hobhouse 16-1[/b]
[b]Stephen Lloyd 20-1[/b]

[b]Next UK election[/b]

[b]2020 20-1[/b]
[b]2021 25-1[/b]
[b]2022 22-1[/b]

https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics

This page is a permanent link to the reply below and its nested replies. See all post replies »

Burnley123 · 41-45, M

I can see Emily Thorberry featuring strongly.

Long Bailey (if she wants to do it) will be Momentum backed and that gets you 30% + support straight out of the gate so I think her odds should be shorter.

I think Starmer deserves longer odds because he is too associated with a hard remain position and given the result, a lot if labour members will be weary of that.

I can't see Jess Phillips winning because she is on the right of the party. Maybe she could but she has a habit of pissing people off.

Rayner's odds are about right.

MartinII · 70-79, M

@Burnley123 If you will forgive me for intruding into private grief, it seems to me that the key task for any Labour leader is to recover the trust of working-class voters. For that to happen, I think the leader needs to focus on economic and social policies designed to help the most disadvantaged, and to give these priority over fashionable policies like even easier abortion, transgender rights and all that. I don’t think it matters too much whether the leader comes from the left or right of the party, so long as he or she is willing to embrace and respect all shades of opinion. But I think it would help greatly if the leader came from a relatively working or lower middle class background and represented a seat in the north of England. Either Thornberry or Starmer would be a disaster, in my opinion.

What everyone should hope for, I suggest, is that both Conservative and Labour parties should return to where they have traditionally been - clearly differentiated ideologically but tolerant of different shades of opinion within each party. The large majority should make it relatively easy for Johnson to move the Tories in that direction. I hope the new Labour leader will wish, and be able, to do the same.

Burnley123 · 41-45, M

@MartinII With that in mind, I'm supporting Long Bailey

MartinII · 70-79, M

@Burnley123 Yes, I don’t know enough about her to have a firm view, but it will probably be easier for someone from the left to achieve what I’m talking about than someone from the right.