Here's Why Trump Will Win In 2020

I predict that Trump is going to win his bid for a second term as President. The scenario I envision, is the following:

Democratic primaries/caucuses are over and done.

Bernie comes in 3rd

Bernie supporters accuse the DNC of playing favorites throw a tantrum fit, and either vote-in Bernie, or some 3rd party candidate

Trump gets about 35% of the popular vote, but like Clinton on his first run, ends up with the electoral votes needed to win the Presidency

During Trump's second term, two more Supreme Court vacancies will be filled with Evangelical-blessed judges, and the Handmaiden's Tale, edited to include only Aunt Hilda's perspective, will be mandatory reading for school children, from pre-school up.

Anyone looking forward to this scenario?

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JT123 · M

Trump will win because the majority of Americans are fed up with the democrats non stop failed attempts to get rid of him! Pretty sad that their only plan to win is to get rid of the president! The dems should focus on an actual plan for America and they might have a chance! It will be a pleasure watching Trump destroy them next year

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@JT123 Trump's approval rating as of today is barely 40%, with 54% opposing him, a clear majority. Your statement is completely bogus based on the facts. You do remember what a fact is, right?

BlueVeins · 22-25

@JT123 I agree that establishment democrats need to get their heads out of their asses, but Trump almost lost to [i]Hillary Clinton[/i] of all people, a candidate who had to be hoisted up by a pile superdelegates just to get the nomination, a woman who'd have trouble drawing a stray cat to her rallies with a bucket of kibble. Trump only wins by being a little less weak than his opponents, not by being a strong candidate himself.

JT123 · M

@windinhishair Look More "Trump's losing" polls 😂

Northwest · M

@JT123 [quote]their only plan to win[/quote]'

Weird, because all the candidates are running on platforms, that don't mention impeachment.

JT123 · M

@Northwest giving away everything for free at my expense isn't a platform! Turning a free country into a socialist republic isn't a platform! Just telling brainwashed sheep a bunch of BS for votes!

Carla · 61-69, F

@JT123 your head is really stuck up trump ass, isnt it? You dont have a clue what any of the democrats platforms are. You are regurgitating trump & co talking points.
And btw...you have to pay taxes for it to be your money.

Northwest · M

@JT123 [quote]giving away everything for free at my expense isn't a platform! Turning a free country into a socialist republic isn't a platform! [b][i][u]Just telling brainwashed sheep a bunch of BS for votes[/u][/i][/b]![/quote]

What's being given away for free at your expense? Who is promoting an authoritarian state? I mean other than Trump? As to the last one, you should really look into a mirror.

This message was deleted by the author of the main post.

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@JT123 That's what all the polls say, even those done by Fox News. You can ignore them, but the underlying disapproval for Trump doesn't go away.

MethDozer · M

@JT123 At your expense? Who is promoting that? Unless you're one of the too 5% wealthiest in the country no candidate is suggesting that. If you are, then oh fucking well. You're gravy train of exploitation might come to an end and you will.be down to one super yacht. So saaaaad

Dale321 · M

I think the polls showed Trump losing the last election. @windinhishair

Northwest · M

@MethDozer This is the part that stuns. Also, when they say that Trump has eliminated the Death Tax for them. You try explaining that the Democrats are NOT making them pay 50% in estate taxes, and that Trump sold them on a gift for himself. The Estate & Gift tax exemption, in 2019, is now $11.4M. This means that their estate would have to be NET POSITIVE, $11.4M, when they die, before it gets taxed, and even then, it's a progressive tax, not reaching the 50% mark, unless your estate is hundreds of millions, net positive.

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@Dale321 And Trump lost the popular vote, exactly as predicted, within the predicted margin of error. Taking the Electoral College into account, Trump had a 28.6% chance of winning, with Clinton at 71.4%. Shit happens sometimes. But winning when you had about a 1 in 3 chance of winning isn't so unusual. However, the polls now show Trump with a 40.5% approval rating and 54.1% disapproval (source: aggregation of all recent polls on the 538 website). It would be possible to win the Electoral College with that type of spread, but it would be very highly unlikely, many times more so than in 2016.

Dale321 · M

You are over thinking this. Who ever wins the Electoral College wins the election as you know. Sounds like you are trying to figure out who is going to win a sports event and if you are proven wrong will you cry the game is rigged (again). @windinhishair

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@Dale321 The Electoral College is the way the president is elected. Electoral votes are decided by the votes in the states. If Trump is way behind and falling further behind, as he is, he is unlikely to win a majority of electoral votes. Simple. You do understand simple, don't you?

Dale321 · M

Thank you for your snide response. But you fail to realize, again, that Trump could be far behind in some states and ahead in others thus effecting the Electoral count contrary to the overall popular vote. The race depends on the mix of states were he is ahead and behind.

The mechanics of this are not as simple as you are. @windinhishair]

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@Dale321 So you've said that it is both overthinking (simple) and not simple. Which is it? Yes, the Electoral College votes decide the thing, but the further behind Trump is, the more unlikely it is that he will be re-elected. That's just a fact.

Dale321 · M

The Electoral College possibilities are not simple, your interpretation of the Electoral College is over simplified.

Best you stick to your Marxist Leninist propaganda.@windinhishair

Northwest · M

@Dale321 [quote]Marxist Leninist propaganda[/quote]

Wait, someone is pushing for Marxist / Leninist propaganda (I love it when people throw compound adjectives around)? Do tell.

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@Dale321 Marxist Leninist propaganda? You mean statistics and probability? How is that Marxist and Leninist?