My prediction for Brexit:

We are heading for either something like May's deal or a no-deal. The opposition forces in Parliament don't have enough MPs and the Tory 'rebel remainers' never actually do any rebelling. May is winding the clock down to the deadline so that MPs will be left with a choice between her deal and no deal. Labour doesn't like her deal but will be blackmailed into abstaining because they can't in good conscience allow for a no-deal Brexit.

So we will end up with a crappy Brexit deal that nobody will be happy with. After that, I am predicting an ugly civil war in both major parties with the Tory right moving to depose May and the Labour right blaming Corbyn for a Brexit he couldn't have stopped and perhaps (if they have the balls) trying to form the oft-mooted breakaway party.

I want none of this to happen but it's all plausible.

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CountScrofula · 41-45, M

A split in labour between the socialists and neoliberals will be interesting to see considering how that tension exists in many different countries.

Burnley123 · 41-45, M

@CountScrofula You can find it interesting but I'll find it stressful LOL. It'll be a return to the tension and division we saw during the 2016 coup and leadership contest. These have never gone away but were bubbling under the surface because of the good 2017 election result. Most Labour MPs would still get rid of Corbyn and Momentum if they could do it easily. They can't do it easily because of what happened last time.

[quote]A split in labour between the socialists and neoliberals[/quote]

The Labour divisions are actually a lot more complicated than that. In rudimentary terms, there are kind of four levels of Labour MP on the left/right spectrum. There is the hard-left (inc Corbyn), the soft left, the old Labour right and the Blairites. Only the hard-left are what you would consider socialist and the MPs in the middle are social democrats (in theory if not always in practice). The truth is more nuanced than that but this works to help you understand.

It's only the Blairites who are talking about splitting. The middle Labour MP's have 'mixed' feelings about Corbyn but they are Labour loyalists and culturally embedded within the party. Even the old-labour right, who often side with the Blairites consider themselves pro-union and they are 'Labour nationalists'. It's only thirty or so Blairite MPs who are in remain constituencies who are in any danger of splitting. There is history with this and the same thing happened in the 80s. However, it might not happen because a 'centre' (i.e. classical liberal party) would be an awkward marriage of Blairites, Lib Dems and a few Tory remainers. It would also most probably get crushed by our two-party electoral system. It would damage the Labour vote though and make it more likely that a Brexity Tory party wins an election. That is what happened in 1983 and it gave Thatcher a huge majority. It would be nice to have them out of the party though.