A political question for those of you in the US...

What, in your view, are the chances of Trump winning again?

Given all the baggage and the January 6 stuff it seems incredulous that he's even in the conversation ... but try and help me understand why the odds suggest it's as close as 50/50.

Not looking for an argument, but just trying desperately to understand HOW and WHY.

Thanks.

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JonLosAngeles66 · M

Harris will win the popular vote but the electoral vote is going to be close. It comes down to WI, MI and PA. She is currently ahead in all three but by varying small margins. Right now the odds are slightly better than 50/50 in her favor. After the debate tonight, that may change a bit. And Harris has a traditional campaign with local offices, workers and volunteers in all battleground states. Trump doesn't to the same extent. Changing minds about the candidates with undecided voters will be over after tonight. And the rest of the work will be activating your followers to vote. My conservative prediction is Harris wins 276-262.