If The 538 Presidential Poll....

......is correct and discounting the margin of error. And the election were today. Harris would receive 297 electoral votes to Trump's 241.

I know that's a big if but I'd rather be where Harris is than where Trump is.

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JonLosAngeles66 · M

Yeah and it's an average of a bunch of different polls, so you'd think the margin of error is lower.

windinhishair · 61-69, M

@JonLosAngeles66 You would think so, but the problem is that each pollster makes adjustments to the actual polling, and each pollster does this differently, so the results can be averaged but the different methodologies make if impossible to accurately determine the total margin of error.