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beckyromero · 36-40, F
Better focus on 2024. Because if Trump wins there might not be another one.
SomeMichGuy · M
@beckyromero Too true
@beckyromero there will never be another 2024 u til 12024 and I expect I'll be dead by then... and I don't know if either of these 70 year old Presidential candidates will naturally live to see 2028, because they're both already so old.
SomeMichGuy · M
@sstronaut We don't know if ANY particular person will.
@SomeMichGuy No, but we know percentage wise, those in their late 70s have a worse chance than those under 60.
SomeMichGuy · M
@sstronaut Ensemble averages don't equal individual results.
And individuals who are in the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather poor condition" (e.g., DJT) in year [i]n[/i] are more likely to [u]not[/u] survive to year [i]n + 1[/i]
than those at the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather better health than those in the previous health set" (e.g., Biden).
Could they both survive? Yes.
Could they both not survive? Yes.
Could there be a mixed outcome? Yes.
Do we have certainty regarding this outcome? No, but we can try to extrapolate from what we know.
And individuals who are in the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather poor condition" (e.g., DJT) in year [i]n[/i] are more likely to [u]not[/u] survive to year [i]n + 1[/i]
than those at the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather better health than those in the previous health set" (e.g., Biden).
Could they both survive? Yes.
Could they both not survive? Yes.
Could there be a mixed outcome? Yes.
Do we have certainty regarding this outcome? No, but we can try to extrapolate from what we know.