Who'll be the next under 70 years old, US President?
I much rather focus on 2028 US Presidential election than 2024....
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beckyromero · 36-40, F
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SomeMichGuy · M
@sstronaut We don't know if ANY particular person will.
@SomeMichGuy No, but we know percentage wise, those in their late 70s have a worse chance than those under 60.
SomeMichGuy · M
@sstronaut Ensemble averages don't equal individual results.
And individuals who are in the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather poor condition" (e.g., DJT) in year [i]n[/i] are more likely to [u]not[/u] survive to year [i]n + 1[/i]
than those at the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather better health than those in the previous health set" (e.g., Biden).
Could they both survive? Yes.
Could they both not survive? Yes.
Could there be a mixed outcome? Yes.
Do we have certainty regarding this outcome? No, but we can try to extrapolate from what we know.
And individuals who are in the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather poor condition" (e.g., DJT) in year [i]n[/i] are more likely to [u]not[/u] survive to year [i]n + 1[/i]
than those at the intersection of the sets
"older" and "in rather better health than those in the previous health set" (e.g., Biden).
Could they both survive? Yes.
Could they both not survive? Yes.
Could there be a mixed outcome? Yes.
Do we have certainty regarding this outcome? No, but we can try to extrapolate from what we know.
Trump will be the next President and he will do something like Kim did in North Korea