Netanyahu has been saying Iran was months away from building an atomic bomb since February 1995!
Hard to believe that I am agreeing with MTG!
But in this, she’s right!
Hard to believe that I am agreeing with MTG!
But in this, she’s right!
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What the record shows more clearly:
Early 1990s → “years away” framing. Netanyahu was already warning in the early 1990s that Iran was only a few years from nuclear-weapons capability (often summarized as “3–5 years”).
1995 → still “3–5 years” / “few years” language (in print). In his 1995 book Fighting Terrorism, he wrote a version of “best estimates… place Iran between three and five years away…” from the prerequisites for independent nuclear weapons production.
2012 UN “red line” era → “months” / specific seasonal deadlines. The famous bomb-diagram speech set a concrete threshold and implied urgency on the order of months (i.e., “by spring/summer”).
2020s assessments → dispute over “how close.” Reporting has repeatedly noted the gap between Israel’s most urgent claims and other assessments (IAEA/US intelligence) about whether Iran is actually building a weapon versus shortening “breakout” time by enriching uranium.
Early 1990s → “years away” framing. Netanyahu was already warning in the early 1990s that Iran was only a few years from nuclear-weapons capability (often summarized as “3–5 years”).
1995 → still “3–5 years” / “few years” language (in print). In his 1995 book Fighting Terrorism, he wrote a version of “best estimates… place Iran between three and five years away…” from the prerequisites for independent nuclear weapons production.
2012 UN “red line” era → “months” / specific seasonal deadlines. The famous bomb-diagram speech set a concrete threshold and implied urgency on the order of months (i.e., “by spring/summer”).
2020s assessments → dispute over “how close.” Reporting has repeatedly noted the gap between Israel’s most urgent claims and other assessments (IAEA/US intelligence) about whether Iran is actually building a weapon versus shortening “breakout” time by enriching uranium.