Do you think the Israel Iran war will expand into a possible WW3 situation?
Robot
This page is a permanent link to the reply below and its nested replies. See all post replies »
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
Nah. Their only serious ally is Russia and they're preoccupied with Ukraine. China won't help because it has nothing to gain. Iran is probably close to using up all its missiles anyway, so there's very little chance of this conflict dragging on long enough to go that route
@TinyViolins There's a billion Muslims upset with Trump right now. But he knows what he seeds.
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
@awildsheepschase Yeah, but they're not all militants. Hezbollah and the Houthis have been getting destroyed over the past number of months, so they don't have much to offer. What else can Hamas really do? That's why I specified serious ally
@TinyViolins It's not that difficult to see one can destroy another with weapons, but things become different when it becomes ground warfare.... that's how you have. George Bush Jr said how many weeks and Iraq is sitll in a quagmire and all those issues will fester. The use of missiles before is nothing compared to when they send in troops and civilians and militias start fighting - that kind of fighting spreads.
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
@awildsheepschase Iran doesn't share any borders with Israel, and they can't gain easy access by sea, so ground warfare seems highly, highly unlikely.
@TinyViolins I don't think you are seeing how it will spread. The US for example had no land border with Iraq, Afghanistan, and more yet there was land warfare. That's a little naive.
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
@awildsheepschase The US caught Iraq by surprise and had coalition forces from other countries helping out. The cat's already out of the bag with the Iran-Israel conflict
In both wars, there was a heavy bombing campaign that forced enemy troops to retreat so that invading soldiers could land. Iran has spent a lot of its arsenal already and Israel has interceptor missiles out the wazoo. It's spent decades trying to perfect the Iron Dome. No other country boasts a defense system as responsive as Israel's
Could Israel invade Iran? Maybe, but the US is more than willing to provide Israel with missiles and bombs so that they don't even need to risk a single soldier
In both wars, there was a heavy bombing campaign that forced enemy troops to retreat so that invading soldiers could land. Iran has spent a lot of its arsenal already and Israel has interceptor missiles out the wazoo. It's spent decades trying to perfect the Iron Dome. No other country boasts a defense system as responsive as Israel's
Could Israel invade Iran? Maybe, but the US is more than willing to provide Israel with missiles and bombs so that they don't even need to risk a single soldier
@TinyViolins I still think you underestimate the social divide and there's a point missle defence systems breakdown when we are talking ground warfare. But I see you only see in military might. Which has not boded well in the past for the US, unless the US wants to invoke the nuclear option.
TinyViolins · 31-35, M
@awildsheepschase There's always been a social divide. Even if missile defense systems break down, the US still has a military presence in Iraq, which is right between the two countries. Either Israeli troops pass through for some unknown reason (they don't even want the land, they just want to wipe out their nuclear capabilities), and get US support along the way. Or Iran marches through Iraq and the US will be able to provide crucial intelligence so Israel can wipe out their advancing troops.
You're fixated on this idea of ground warfare even though it doesn't make sense for either country to do. They're just going to try to destroy infrastructure with missiles until one side or the other gives up
You're fixated on this idea of ground warfare even though it doesn't make sense for either country to do. They're just going to try to destroy infrastructure with missiles until one side or the other gives up