Has anyone seen any kind of predicted casualty number for the virus, global or national?

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Being a Canadian I am also following what is going on in the US because this thing does not care about borders. As it stands New York state passed the point of no return for a complete lockdown on the 18th of March. Because that did not happen they could be looking at 300k dead in that state alone and Washington State will probably be in a similar state of affairs,

Here in Canada we only have 24 dead but cases have skyrocketed to 2091 and there will only be more because frankly people are being stupid and our government is worried about the optics of a crackdown.

Burnley123 · 41-45, M

@PicturesOfABetterTomorrow Where is your source for 300k dead in ny state?

This could be true but looks like a worse case and preficting that almost all high risk people get it.

Dont get me wrong, this os serious bad shit anyway but that number still looks a bit high.

Nyloncapes · 61-69, M

@Burnley123 people up London still not taking serious tube stations and trains packed still this morning

Burnley123 · 41-45, M

@Nyloncapes Urrrrgh. That is bad.

PicturesOfABetterTomorrow · 41-45, M

@Burnley123 I will have to look up the source again. It gave projections for every state and uses the same calculations used to figure out how to flatten the curve of infection in each state based on the number of case, how quickly the numbers are increasing and the numbers of total hospital beds. Once the number of beds is exceeded the death percentage goes up drastically. Italy is at 9%. According to the calculations a total lockdown would have had to be implemented in NY by St. Patrick's day. That didn't happen.