My gut feeling is always wrong. How do I fix it?

Like every time in "Among us" when I'd be 100% sure about somebody's innocence and say it, they'd turn out to be the impostor.

Also 2 days ago, the exact moment when I finally decided to buy btc, because I saw a small dip, that is the moment when it started crashing. Like literally it passed 2 days, and it is still going down, like wtf. That is the reason I stopped doing btc the first time. Like all my reads would go the opposite way.